Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fulham U23 vs Stoke City U23

England England

Premier League Cup 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Tiehi J.
57' Event
Porter A.
82' Event
Sanderson O.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Fulham U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Fulham U23
15%
Draws
37%
Stoke City U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fulham U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Fulham U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Fulham U23 taking it.
  • Fulham U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Fulham U23, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Fulham U23 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Fulham U23 Clean Sheet 17%
Stoke City U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fulham U23 Stoke City U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 23 14
Draws 2 7
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 2.27 1.53
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2022 Premier League Cup
Stoke City U23 vs Fulham U23
1:2
Jan 24, 2022 Premier League 2
Stoke City U23 vs Fulham U23
0:1
Nov 19, 2021 Premier League 2
Fulham U23 vs Stoke City U23
3:0
Oct 8, 2021 Premier League Cup
Fulham U23 vs Stoke City U23
2:1
Mar 15, 2021 Premier League 2
Stoke City U23 vs Fulham U23
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fulham U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tiehi J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sanderson O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Stoke City U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Porter A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.78

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fulham U23 57 / 100
Stoke City U23 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fulham U23 Stoke City U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fulham U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fulham U23's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Stoke City U23 has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Fulham U23 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fulham U23 VS Stoke City U23
1.71 Goals Scored 1.38
1.43 Goals Conceded 1.38
71% Over 1.5 75%
71% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fulham U23

(Home)
03 May
West Brom U23
2 : 1
Fulham U23
29 Apr
Fulham U23
5 : 3
Burnley U23
25 Apr
Reading U23
3 : 1
Fulham U23
22 Apr
West Ham U23
0 : 1
Fulham U23
01 Apr
Fulham U23
3 : 0
Birmingham U23
Page 1 of 6

Stoke City U23

(Away)
19 Jul
Taunton Town
2 : 0
Stoke City U23
23 May
Wolves U23
2 : 0
Stoke City U23
15 May
Stoke City U23
2 : 0
Nottingham U23
29 Apr
Stoke City U23
2 : 1
West Brom U23
25 Apr
Wolves U23
2 : 2
Stoke City U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Brom U23 6 4 1 1 18:8 13
2 Arsenal U23 6 2 2 2 11:12 8
3 Bournemouth U23 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
4 Southampton U23 6 0 3 3 7:15 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U23 6 3 0 3 13:10 9
2 QPR U23 6 3 0 3 15:14 9
3 Blackburn U23 6 3 0 3 16:16 9
4 Nottingham U23 6 3 0 3 13:17 9
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Derby U23 6 5 1 0 17:9 16
2 Charlton U23 6 3 1 2 14:6 10
3 Norwich U23 6 1 2 3 12:16 5
4 Reading U23 6 1 0 5 6:18 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Peterborough U23 6 3 1 2 13:8 10
2 Sheffield Utd U23 6 3 1 2 9:10 10
3 Everton U23 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
4 Burnley U23 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wigan U23 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Leeds U23 6 2 2 2 10:10 8
3 Sunderland U23 6 1 3 2 9:13 6
4 Mansfield U23 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U23 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Wolves U23 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
3 Exeter U23 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
4 Swansea U23 6 0 3 3 7:12 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield U23 6 5 1 0 17:3 16
2 Newcastle Utd U23 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
3 Watford U23 6 2 0 4 7:15 6
4 Birmingham U23 6 1 0 5 6:15 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 6 5 1 0 14:4 16
2 Stoke City U23 6 3 0 3 15:11 9
3 Colchester U23 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
4 Southend U23 6 1 1 4 4:16 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)