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Fulham vs Newcastle Utd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League Craven Cottage, London
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fulham host Newcastle Utd in the Premier League. This one's hard to separate. Fulham have averaged 1 scored and 1.11 conceded recently, against Newcastle Utd's 1.47 scored and 1.83 conceded. Past meetings favor Fulham slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 24, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.19) point toward Fulham. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Fulham
15%
Draws
39%
Newcastle Utd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fulham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Newcastle Utd have won more games recently than Fulham.
  • Model gives Fulham a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Fulham Clean Sheet 20%
Newcastle Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fulham Newcastle Utd
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Premier League
Fulham vs Newcastle Utd
2:0
Dec 17, 2025 EFL Cup
Newcastle Utd vs Fulham
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 Premier League
Newcastle Utd vs Fulham
2:1
Feb 1, 2025 Premier League
Newcastle Utd vs Fulham
1:2
Sep 21, 2024 Premier League
Fulham vs Newcastle Utd
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fulham 58 / 100
Newcastle Utd 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fulham Newcastle Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fulham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle Utd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Fulham found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Fulham stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fulham VS Newcastle Utd
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fulham

(Home)
28 Oct
Fulham
0 : 1
Crystal Palace
24 Oct
Coventry
0 : 1
Fulham
17 Oct
Fulham
1 : 0
Hull City
10 Oct
Ipswich
2 : 1
Fulham
20 Sept
Fulham
1 : 1
Manchester United
Page 1 of 6

Newcastle Utd

(Away)
29 Oct
Everton
3 : 1
Newcastle Utd
25 Oct
Crystal Palace
0 : 2
Newcastle Utd
17 Oct
Newcastle Utd
0 : 1
Aston Villa
12 Oct
Coventry
4 : 1
Newcastle Utd
19 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 1
Hull City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City 8 7 0 1 20:9 21
2 Arsenal 8 7 0 1 13:5 21
3 Brighton 8 5 1 2 23:7 16
4 Liverpool 8 4 3 1 11:8 15
5 Chelsea 8 4 1 3 17:15 13
6 Brentford 8 2 5 1 14:9 11
7 Leeds 8 2 5 1 9:6 11
8 Newcastle Utd 8 3 2 3 12:14 11
9 Aston Villa 8 3 2 3 9:12 11
10 Hull City 8 2 4 2 9:8 10
11 Everton 8 2 4 2 8:9 10
12 Ipswich 8 3 1 4 12:16 10
13 Bournemouth 8 2 3 3 12:13 9
14 Tottenham 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
15 Fulham 8 2 2 4 8:10 8
16 Manchester United 8 1 4 3 10:13 7
17 Crystal Palace 8 2 1 5 9:19 7
18 Nottingham 8 1 3 4 6:10 6
19 Coventry 8 2 0 6 6:15 6
20 Sunderland 8 1 2 5 6:14 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)