Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Furstenwalde vs Lichtenberg

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Reiniger S.
27' Event
Reiniger S.
57' Event
Reiniger S.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2023/2024 game between Furstenwalde and Lichtenberg finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lichtenberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Furstenwalde
15%
Draws
85%
Lichtenberg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lichtenberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Lichtenberg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Lichtenberg taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Furstenwalde Clean Sheet 10%
Lichtenberg Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Furstenwalde Lichtenberg
Matches Played 33 35
Wins 3 21
Draws 3 6
Losses 27 8
Goals Scored 0.79 2.51
Goals Conceded 3.06 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2024 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Furstenwalde vs Lichtenberg
0:4
Oct 1, 2023 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Lichtenberg vs Furstenwalde
2:0
Apr 5, 2022 Regionalliga Nordost
Furstenwalde vs Lichtenberg
2:0
Oct 2, 2021 Regionalliga Nordost
Lichtenberg vs Furstenwalde
3:2
Jul 3, 2021 Club Friendly
Furstenwalde vs Lichtenberg
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Furstenwalde Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Lichtenberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Reiniger S.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Gani G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Furstenwalde 26 / 100
Lichtenberg 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Furstenwalde Lichtenberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lichtenberg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Furstenwalde scored in 64% of their last 33 games.

Lichtenberg let in goals in 69% of their last 35 matches.

Lichtenberg lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Furstenwalde VS Lichtenberg
1 Goals Scored 2.13
7 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Furstenwalde

(Home)
18 Jul
Polonia Slubice
7 : 1
Furstenwalde
08 Jun
Furstenwalde
1 : 2
SC Staaken
02 Jun
Mahlsdorf
4 : 1
Furstenwalde
17 May
Furstenwalde
0 : 2
TB Berlin
05 May
Furstenwalde
0 : 4
Rostocker FC
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Lichtenberg

(Away)
16 Aug
Klosterfelde
2 : 1
Lichtenberg
08 Aug
Lichtenberg
3 : 2
TSG Neustrelitz
18 Jul
Lichtenberg
1 : 1
Dresden II
12 Jul
Rsv Eintracht
3 : 1
Lichtenberg
08 Jul
Lichtenberg
0 : 9
Hertha Berlin
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hertha Zehlendorf 28 22 5 1 102:29 71
2 Lichtenberg 28 22 4 2 87:18 70
3 Sparta Lichtenberg 28 16 5 7 73:48 53
4 Mahlsdorf 28 14 4 10 52:43 46
5 TSG Neustrelitz 28 13 4 11 55:46 43
6 TB Berlin 28 11 8 9 49:48 41
7 TUS Makkabi 28 10 9 9 44:42 39
8 SV Tasmania Berlin 28 10 7 11 47:44 37
9 Wismar 28 10 6 12 47:52 36
10 Rathenow 28 9 7 12 46:55 34
11 Rsv Eintracht 28 10 3 15 49:66 33
12 SC Staaken 28 10 2 16 43:74 32
13 Dynamo Schwerin 28 8 4 16 43:62 28
14 Rostocker FC 28 7 2 19 43:88 23
15 Furstenwalde 28 2 2 24 22:87 8
16 CFC Hertha 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2024/2025 (Main)