Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fuzinar vs Aluminij

Slovenia Slovenia

Slovenian Cup 2025/2026 Stadion Ugasle peci, Prevalje
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Mrezar A.
9' Event
Bloudek A.
24'
Maher R.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-4, with Aluminij advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Fuzinar
20%
Draws
29%
Aluminij
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fuzinar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Aluminij haven't matched Fuzinar's recent run of results.
  • Fuzinar are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Fuzinar have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Aluminij, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Aluminij have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Fuzinar Clean Sheet 16%
Aluminij Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fuzinar Aluminij
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 7
Draws 4 9
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2.59 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2026 Slovenian Cup
Fuzinar vs Aluminij
0:4
Apr 1, 2023 2. SNL
Aluminij vs Fuzinar
4:0
Mar 8, 2023 Slovenian Cup
Aluminij vs Fuzinar
4:2
Sep 28, 2022 2. SNL
Fuzinar vs Aluminij
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fuzinar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.99

Aluminij Compare

Top Goalscorer Pejic J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bloudek A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fuzinar 41 / 100
Aluminij 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fuzinar Aluminij

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Fuzinar found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Aluminij conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Fuzinar has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fuzinar VS Aluminij
2.71 Goals Scored 1.13
1.86 Goals Conceded 1.25
86% Over 1.5 63%
71% Over 2.5 38%
57% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fuzinar

(Home)
19 Sept
Hajdina
2 : 4
Fuzinar
12 Sept
Fuzinar
4 : 3
Sampion Celje
06 Sept
Odranci
5 : 3
Fuzinar
29 Aug
Fuzinar
5 : 1
Dobrovce
23 Aug
SD Videm
2 : 1
Fuzinar
Page 1 of 6

Aluminij

(Away)
19 Sept
Maribor
2 : 2
Aluminij
13 Sept
Mura
1 : 6
Aluminij
05 Sept
Aluminij
0 : 0
Bravo
02 Sept
Aluminij
0 : 2
Celje
28 Aug
Aluminij
0 : 1
Koper
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Tromejnik Montpreis 0
Jadran Dekani 3
Malecnik 2
Kamnik 1
Beltinci 1
Radomlje 3
Tabor Sezana 1
Primorje 4
Grosuplje 2
Maribor 1
Stojnci 0
Bistrica 18
Sencur 1
O. Ljubljana 2
Makole Bar Miha 0
Celje 4
Fama Vipava 1
Bravo 2
Ljutomer 0
Rudar 3
Dravinja 1
Mura 2
Skofja Loka 1
Nafta 6
Odranci 2
Fuzinar 4
Race 2
NK Krka 1
Ziri 1
Aluminij 6
NK Polana 1
Zavrc 0
1/8-finals
Jadran Dekani 2
Malecnik 0
Radomlje 3
Primorje 2
Grosuplje 2
Bistrica 1
O. Ljubljana 1
Celje 0
Bravo 2
Rudar 0
Mura 1
Nafta 2
Fuzinar 5
Race 0
Aluminij 7
NK Polana 1
Quarter-finals
Jadran Dekani 2
Radomlje 4
Grosuplje 1
O. Ljubljana 0
Bravo 2
Nafta 0
Fuzinar 0
Aluminij 4
Semi-finals
Radomlje 0
Grosuplje 1
Bravo 0
Aluminij 1
Final
Grosuplje 0
Aluminij 1