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Fylkir vs KR Reykjavik

Iceland Iceland

League Cup Fylkisvöllur, Reykjavík
Sat, Mar 21, 2026
5 - 4
02:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Leosson G.
16' Event
Sigurdarson A.
19'
Wohler E.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-4. This leg finished 5-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Fylkir
20%
Draws
38%
KR Reykjavik
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fylkir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Fylkir have won more games recently than KR Reykjavik.
  • Win probability leans Fylkir's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Fylkir have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Fylkir, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Fylkir Clean Sheet 10%
KR Reykjavik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fylkir KR Reykjavik
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 19 16
Draws 1 5
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 2.59 3.29
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 League Cup
Fylkir vs KR Reykjavik
5:4
Jan 10, 2026 Reykjavik Cup
KR Reykjavik vs Fylkir
5:2
Mar 14, 2025 League Cup
Fylkir vs KR Reykjavik
2:1
Oct 20, 2024 Besta deild karla
Fylkir vs KR Reykjavik
0:1
Jun 27, 2024 Besta deild karla
KR Reykjavik vs Fylkir
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fylkir Compare

Top Goalscorer Tyrfingsson G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Leosson G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

KR Reykjavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Sigurdarson A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saebjornsson E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fylkir 65 / 100
KR Reykjavik 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fylkir KR Reykjavik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fylkir Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fylkir scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

KR Reykjavik's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Fylkir went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fylkir VS KR Reykjavik
2.13 Goals Scored 2.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Fylkir

(Home)
09 Sept
Kopavogur
2 : 3
Fylkir
05 Sept
Kopavogur
2 : 1
Fylkir
28 Aug
Fylkir
3 : 1
Grotta
22 Aug
Fylkir
6 : 1
Grindavik
17 Aug
Throttur
3 : 1
Fylkir
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KR Reykjavik

(Away)
06 Sept
Akranes
3 : 1
KR Reykjavik
01 Sept
KR Reykjavik
1 : 1
Vikingur Reykjavik
23 Aug
KA Akureyri
3 : 5
KR Reykjavik
16 Aug
KR Reykjavik
3 : 3
Breidablik
10 Aug
Fram
2 : 5
KR Reykjavik
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Stjarnan 0
KR Reykjavik 4
Thor Akureyri 0
Fylkir 2
Final
KR Reykjavik 4
Fylkir 5