Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fylkir vs Leiknir Reykjavik Prediction & H2H Stats

Iceland Iceland

Division 1 Fylkisvöllur, Reykjavík
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Stefansson O.
24'
Agustsson A.
40' Event
Tyrfingsson G.
Assist: Sigfusson K.

AI Match Summary

Fylkir in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fylkir.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Fylkir
15%
Draws
39%
Leiknir Reykjavik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fylkir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fylkir lately — more wins on the board than Leiknir Reykjavik.
  • Win probability leans Fylkir's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Fylkir Clean Sheet 10%
Leiknir Reykjavik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fylkir Leiknir Reykjavik
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 11
Draws 2 5
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 2.42 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Division 1
Leiknir Reykjavik vs Fylkir
3:0
May 27, 2026 Division 1
Fylkir vs Leiknir Reykjavik
3:0
Feb 14, 2026 League Cup
Leiknir Reykjavik vs Fylkir
0:3
Aug 13, 2025 Division 1
Leiknir Reykjavik vs Fylkir
1:0
Jun 4, 2025 Division 1
Fylkir vs Leiknir Reykjavik
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fylkir Compare

Top Goalscorer Tyrfingsson G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Leosson G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Leiknir Reykjavik Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fylkir 40 / 100
Leiknir Reykjavik 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fylkir Leiknir Reykjavik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fylkir scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Leiknir Reykjavik conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Fylkir stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fylkir VS Leiknir Reykjavik
2.25 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fylkir

(Home)
19 Sept
Throttur
1 : 0
Fylkir
13 Sept
Fylkir
2 : 2
Kopavogur
09 Sept
Kopavogur
2 : 3
Fylkir
05 Sept
Kopavogur
2 : 1
Fylkir
28 Aug
Fylkir
3 : 1
Grotta
Page 1 of 7

Leiknir Reykjavik

(Away)
05 Sept
IR Reykjavik
3 : 2
Leiknir Reykjavik
29 Aug
Leiknir Reykjavik
2 : 0
Njardvik
22 Aug
Vestri
2 : 0
Leiknir Reykjavik
17 Aug
Leiknir Reykjavik
6 : 1
Aegir
13 Aug
Kopavogur
2 : 1
Leiknir Reykjavik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afturelding 22 14 3 5 65:33 45
2 Throttur 22 13 4 5 50:25 43
3 Fylkir 22 13 1 8 49:36 40
4 Kopavogur 22 12 2 8 52:40 38
5 Njardvik 22 12 2 8 38:29 38
6 Leiknir Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 34:33 28
7 IR Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 40:46 28
8 Grotta 22 8 3 11 36:43 27
9 Vestri 22 8 3 11 30:43 27
10 Volsungur 22 7 5 10 32:44 26
11 Grindavik 22 5 10 7 25:35 25
12 Aegir 22 2 3 17 25:69 9
Promotion - Besta deild karla 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027 (Main)