Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fylkir vs Ulfarnir

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2021 Fylkisvöllur, Reykjavík
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Hardarson H.
Own Goal
22' Event
Eythorsson B.
26' Event
Hafthorsson T. G.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 7-0, with Fylkir advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Fylkir
15%
Draws
48%
Ulfarnir
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ulfarnir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Fylkir carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Fylkir are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Fylkir have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Fylkir, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Fylkir Clean Sheet 68%
Ulfarnir Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fylkir Ulfarnir
Matches Played 32 19
Wins 22 9
Draws 1 0
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 2.91 2.11
Goals Conceded 1.44 2.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2022 Icelandic Cup
Fylkir vs Ulfarnir
5:0
Jun 24, 2021 Icelandic Cup
Fylkir vs Ulfarnir
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fylkir Compare

Top Goalscorer Hafthorsson T. G.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Parfitt-Williams D.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Ulfarnir Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fylkir 86 / 100
Ulfarnir 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fylkir Ulfarnir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fylkir Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 6:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fylkir found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Ulfarnir conceded in 79% of 19 recent games.

Fylkir went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fylkir VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fylkir

(Home)
22 Aug
Fylkir
6 : 1
Grindavik
17 Aug
Throttur
3 : 1
Fylkir
13 Aug
Fylkir
3 : 3
Afturelding
07 Aug
Leiknir Reykjavik
3 : 0
Fylkir
29 Jul
Fylkir
3 : 1
Volsungur
Page 1 of 7

Ulfarnir

(Away)
26 Mar
Grotta
2 : 1
Ulfarnir
10 Mar
Ulfarnir
4 : 2
Hamar
17 Apr
Olafsvik
7 : 1
Ulfarnir
05 Apr
Skallagrimur
1 : 2
Ulfarnir
28 Mar
Ulfarnir
3 : 0
Stokkseyri
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Midas 0
Augnablik 12
Aegir 4
IBU 0
Fjolnir -
TBD -
Bjorninn 0
KA Asvellir 3
KFG Gardabaer 0
Alftanes 2
Ellidi 2
IR Reykjavik 3
Selfoss 0
Kordrengir 1
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4
Reynir 1
Akranes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lettir 1
Vidir 2
Fram 8
Hordur Isafjordur 0
Hafnarfjordur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alafoss 2
GG Grindavik 1
Njardvik 3
KH Hlidarendi 0
Kopavogur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KV Reykjavik 1
Throttur Vogar 3
TBD -
Grotta -
Berserkir 5
KFS 6
Kria 13
Afrika Reykjavik 1
KB Breidholt 1
Throttur 6
Olafsvik 18
Gullfalkinn 0
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik -
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Reynir Hellissandur 0
Afturelding 2
SR Reykjavik 1
RB Keflavik 0
Hamar 0
Vestri 3
Ymir 1
KFR 2
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
Magni -
Smari 1
Grindavik 4
Hviti 4
Arborg 1
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
Tindastoll 0
Volsungur 2
Kormakur/Hvot 2
Hamrarnir 3
Leiknir Faskruds -
TBD -
Hottur / Huginn 7
Einherji 1
Fylkir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vatnaliljur 2
IH Hafnarfjordur 3
Ulfarnir 2
Isbjorninn 0
Dalvik/Reynir 7
Samherjar 1
TBD -
Fjallabyggd -
KFB 0
Stokkseyri 5
KM Reykjavik 0
Haukar 4
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjardabyggd -
TBD -
TBD -
Sindri -
Kari -
Vaengirs -
Snaefell 1
Skallagrimur 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
1/32-finals
Augnablik 4
Aegir 0
Fjolnir 7
KA Asvellir 1
Alftanes 0
IR Reykjavik 2
Kordrengir 3
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4
Akranes -
TBD -
Vidir 0
Fram 2
Hafnarfjordur -
TBD -
Alafoss 0
Njardvik 5
Kopavogur -
TBD -
Throttur Vogar 1
Grotta 3
KFS 4
Kria 0
Throttur 1
Olafsvik 3
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Breidablik -
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Afturelding 8
SR Reykjavik 0
Vestri 1
KFR 0
Thor Akureyri 3
Magni 0
Grindavik 3
Hviti 0
Valur -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
Volsungur 9
Hamrarnir 1
Leiknir Faskruds 3
Hottur / Huginn 0
Fylkir -
TBD -
IH Hafnarfjordur 0
Ulfarnir 3
Dalvik/Reynir 2
Fjallabyggd 3
Stokkseyri 0
Haukar 7
Vikingur Reykjavik -
TBD -
Fjardabyggd 0
Sindri 2
Kari 5
Skallagrimur 1
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
1/16-finals
Augnablik 1
Fjolnir 4
IR Reykjavik 3
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0
Akranes 3
Fram 0
Hafnarfjordur 4
Njardvik 1
Kopavogur 2
Grotta 1
KFS 4
Olafsvik 2
Keflavik 2
Breidablik 0
Stjarnan 1
KA Akureyri 2
Afturelding 1
Vestri 2
Thor Akureyri 2
Grindavik 1
Valur 2
Leiknir Reykjavik 0
Volsungur 2
Leiknir Faskruds 1
Fylkir 7
Ulfarnir 0
Fjallabyggd 1
Haukar 2
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Sindri 0
Kari 1
KR Reykjavik 2
1/8-finals
Fjolnir 2
IR Reykjavik 3
Akranes 1
Hafnarfjordur 0
Kopavogur 7
KFS 1
Keflavik 3
KA Akureyri 1
Vestri 4
Thor Akureyri 0
Valur 6
Volsungur 0
Fylkir 2
Haukar 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
KR Reykjavik 1
Quarter-finals
IR Reykjavik 1
Akranes 3
Kopavogur 3
Keflavik 5
Vestri 2
Valur 1
Fylkir 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 1
Semi-finals
Akranes 2
Keflavik 0
Vestri 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Final
Akranes 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 3