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Fyllingsdalen vs Varegg Prediction & H2H Stats

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Rekkedal T.
61' Event
Rasmussen M.
64'
Awdi D.

AI Match Summary

Varegg in this Division 3 - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Varegg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Fyllingsdalen
20%
Draws
80%
Varegg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Varegg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Varegg lately — more wins on the board than Fyllingsdalen.
  • Win probability leans Varegg's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Varegg have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Fyllingsdalen Clean Sheet 10%
Varegg Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fyllingsdalen Varegg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 7
Draws 4 6
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 1.24 1.48
Goals Conceded 2.66 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Division 3 - Group 3
Fyllingsdalen vs Varegg
0:4
Apr 18, 2026 Division 3 - Group 3
Varegg vs Fyllingsdalen
1:0
Sep 1, 2018 Division 3 - Group 4
Varegg vs Fyllingsdalen
1:0
May 13, 2018 Division 3 - Group 4
Fyllingsdalen vs Varegg
1:0
Oct 14, 2017 Division 3 - Group 4
Fyllingsdalen vs Varegg
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fyllingsdalen Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Varegg Compare

Top Goalscorer Rekkedal T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rasmussen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fyllingsdalen 10 / 100
Varegg 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fyllingsdalen Varegg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varegg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varegg let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Fyllingsdalen's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Varegg lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fyllingsdalen VS Varegg
0.38 Goals Scored 1.88
3.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Fyllingsdalen

(Home)
26 Sept
Fyllingsdalen
1 : 2
Stord
21 Sept
Brann 2
7 : 0
Fyllingsdalen
12 Sept
Fyllingsdalen
1 : 2
Gneist IL
05 Sept
Sogndal 2
7 : 0
Fyllingsdalen
30 Aug
Fyllingsdalen
0 : 1
Austevoll
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Varegg

(Away)
26 Sept
Varegg
4 : 2
OS TF
19 Sept
Gneist IL
2 : 2
Varegg
12 Sept
Varegg
2 : 0
Sogndal 2
05 Sept
Austevoll
2 : 2
Varegg
30 Aug
Varegg
1 : 2
Djerv 1919
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