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Gaadiidka vs Badbaado

Somalia Somalia

National league
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National league matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gaadiidka
33%
Draws
27%
Badbaado
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Gaadiidka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gaadiidka lately — more wins on the board than Badbaado.
  • Gaadiidka are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular National league form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Gaadiidka Clean Sheet 17%
Badbaado Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gaadiidka Badbaado
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 17 10
Draws 7 4
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 2.88 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.63 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 National league
Badbaado vs Gaadiidka
0:3
Apr 6, 2026 National league
Gaadiidka vs Badbaado
1:1
May 18, 2025 National league
Badbaado vs Gaadiidka
1:0
Feb 3, 2025 National league
Gaadiidka vs Badbaado
3:0
Jul 6, 2024 National league
Gaadiidka vs Badbaado
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gaadiidka 39 / 100
Badbaado 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gaadiidka Badbaado

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gaadiidka found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Badbaado conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Gaadiidka has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Gaadiidka VS Badbaado
2.88 Goals Scored 2.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gaadiidka

(Home)
22 Jul
Jazeera
1 : 3
Gaadiidka
17 Jul
Elman
0 : 2
Gaadiidka
13 Jul
Gaadiidka
2 : 0
Jeenyo
07 Jul
Heegan
1 : 2
Gaadiidka
29 Jun
Raadsan
0 : 6
Gaadiidka
Page 1 of 6

Badbaado

(Away)
20 Jul
Jubba
2 : 7
Badbaado
17 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 3
Dekedda
13 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 2
Mogadishu City
10 Jul
Badbaado
4 : 1
Jazeera
04 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 2
Elman
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gaadiidka19135151:1544
2Heegan20135249:1644
3Dekedda20117246:2140
4Mogadishu City19116236:1239
5Elman20113633:1536
6Horseed2098338:1935
7Badbaado20721141:3523
8Jazeera1955938:3820
9Jeenyo2048830:3020
10Raadsan19421330:5014
11Jubba20201815:886
12Gantaalaha Afgooye18111618:864
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