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Gaadiidka vs Jazeera

Somalia Somalia

National league
Gaadiidka Logo

Gaadiidka

3 - 0
FT
Jazeera Logo

Jazeera

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gaadiidka in this National league matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gaadiidka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Gaadiidka
20%
Draws
19%
Jazeera
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gaadiidka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Jazeera haven't matched Gaadiidka's recent run of results.
  • Gaadiidka are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Gaadiidka Clean Sheet 13%
Jazeera Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gaadiidka Jazeera
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 6
Draws 8 7
Losses 4 17
Goals Scored 2.2 1.6
Goals Conceded 0.8 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 National league
Jazeera vs Gaadiidka
1:3
May 19, 2026 National league
Gaadiidka vs Jazeera
3:0
May 6, 2025 National league
Gaadiidka vs Jazeera
2:1
Jan 22, 2025 National league
Jazeera vs Gaadiidka
3:2
Aug 2, 2024 National league
Jazeera vs Gaadiidka
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gaadiidka 84 / 100
Jazeera 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gaadiidka Jazeera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gaadiidka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gaadiidka found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Jazeera's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Gaadiidka stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gaadiidka VS Jazeera
2.88 Goals Scored 2.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Gaadiidka

(Home)
14 Aug
Gaadiidka
0 : 0
Dekedda
09 Aug
Gaadiidka
3 : 1
Mogadishu City
22 Jul
Jazeera
1 : 3
Gaadiidka
17 Jul
Elman
0 : 2
Gaadiidka
13 Jul
Gaadiidka
2 : 0
Jeenyo
Page 1 of 6

Jazeera

(Away)
12 Aug
Jeenyo
6 : 0
Jazeera
08 Aug
Heegan
4 : 0
Jazeera
22 Jul
Jazeera
1 : 3
Gaadiidka
18 Jul
Jazeera
9 : 1
Gantaalaha Afgooye
14 Jul
Horseed
2 : 2
Jazeera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)