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Gaadiidka vs Jeenyo Prediction & H2H Stats

Somalia Somalia

National league
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gaadiidka in this National league matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gaadiidka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Gaadiidka
30%
Draws
27%
Jeenyo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gaadiidka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gaadiidka lately — more wins on the board than Jeenyo.
  • Model gives Gaadiidka a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Gaadiidka have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Gaadiidka Clean Sheet 20%
Jeenyo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gaadiidka Jeenyo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 7
Draws 8 10
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 2.2 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2026 National league
Gaadiidka vs Jeenyo
2:0
May 5, 2026 National league
Jeenyo vs Gaadiidka
2:3
Feb 28, 2025 National league
Jeenyo vs Gaadiidka
0:2
Dec 16, 2024 National league
Gaadiidka vs Jeenyo
2:0
Jun 24, 2024 National league
Jeenyo vs Gaadiidka
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gaadiidka 49 / 100
Jeenyo 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gaadiidka Jeenyo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gaadiidka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gaadiidka's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Jeenyo let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Gaadiidka has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Gaadiidka VS Jeenyo
2.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gaadiidka

(Home)
14 Aug
Gaadiidka
0 : 0
Dekedda
09 Aug
Gaadiidka
3 : 1
Mogadishu City
22 Jul
Jazeera
1 : 3
Gaadiidka
17 Jul
Elman
0 : 2
Gaadiidka
13 Jul
Gaadiidka
2 : 0
Jeenyo
Page 1 of 6

Jeenyo

(Away)
12 Aug
Jeenyo
6 : 0
Jazeera
07 Aug
Elman
0 : 1
Jeenyo
20 Jul
Jeenyo
0 : 0
Raadsan
16 Jul
Jeenyo
0 : 0
Heegan
13 Jul
Gaadiidka
2 : 0
Jeenyo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)