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Stadium Background

Gaadiidka vs Jeenyo

Somalia Somalia

National league
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gaadiidka in this National league matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gaadiidka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Gaadiidka
6%
Draws
4%
Jeenyo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Gaadiidka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gaadiidka lately — more wins on the board than Jeenyo.
  • Model gives Gaadiidka a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Gaadiidka have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Gaadiidka Clean Sheet 20%
Jeenyo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gaadiidka Jeenyo
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 17 5
Draws 7 10
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 2.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2026 National league
Gaadiidka vs Jeenyo
2:0
May 5, 2026 National league
Jeenyo vs Gaadiidka
2:3
Feb 28, 2025 National league
Jeenyo vs Gaadiidka
0:2
Dec 16, 2024 National league
Gaadiidka vs Jeenyo
2:0
Jun 24, 2024 National league
Jeenyo vs Gaadiidka
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gaadiidka 85 / 100
Jeenyo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gaadiidka Jeenyo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gaadiidka's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Jeenyo let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Gaadiidka has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Gaadiidka VS Jeenyo
2.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gaadiidka

(Home)
22 Jul
Jazeera
1 : 3
Gaadiidka
17 Jul
Elman
0 : 2
Gaadiidka
13 Jul
Gaadiidka
2 : 0
Jeenyo
07 Jul
Heegan
1 : 2
Gaadiidka
29 Jun
Raadsan
0 : 6
Gaadiidka
Page 1 of 6

Jeenyo

(Away)
20 Jul
Jeenyo
0 : 0
Raadsan
16 Jul
Jeenyo
0 : 0
Heegan
13 Jul
Gaadiidka
2 : 0
Jeenyo
09 Jul
Jeenyo
3 : 2
Gantaalaha Afgooye
03 Jul
Horseed
1 : 1
Jeenyo
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gaadiidka19135151:1544
2Heegan20135249:1644
3Dekedda20117246:2140
4Mogadishu City19116236:1239
5Elman20113633:1536
6Horseed2098338:1935
7Badbaado20721141:3523
8Jazeera1955938:3820
9Jeenyo2048830:3020
10Raadsan19421330:5014
11Jubba20201815:886
12Gantaalaha Afgooye18111618:864
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