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Gaadiidka vs Jubba

Somalia Somalia

National league
Gaadiidka Logo

Gaadiidka

4 - 0
FT
Jubba Logo

Jubba

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The National league game between Gaadiidka and Jubba finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gaadiidka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Gaadiidka
15%
Draws
0%
Jubba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gaadiidka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Gaadiidka carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Gaadiidka's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular National league form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Gaadiidka Clean Sheet 20%
Jubba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gaadiidka Jubba
Matches Played 30 22
Wins 18 2
Draws 8 0
Losses 4 20
Goals Scored 2.2 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.8 4.36
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 National league
Gaadiidka vs Jubba
4:0
Feb 15, 2026 National league
Jubba vs Gaadiidka
0:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gaadiidka 85 / 100
Jubba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gaadiidka Jubba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gaadiidka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gaadiidka's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Jubba conceded in 91% of 22 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Gaadiidka has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gaadiidka VS Jubba
2.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 5.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Gaadiidka

(Home)
14 Aug
Gaadiidka
0 : 0
Dekedda
09 Aug
Gaadiidka
3 : 1
Mogadishu City
22 Jul
Jazeera
1 : 3
Gaadiidka
17 Jul
Elman
0 : 2
Gaadiidka
13 Jul
Gaadiidka
2 : 0
Jeenyo
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Jubba

(Away)
12 Aug
Jubba
1 : 5
Gantaalaha Afgooye
08 Aug
Horseed
3 : 1
Jubba
20 Jul
Jubba
2 : 7
Badbaado
16 Jul
Raadsan
8 : 2
Jubba
12 Jul
Jubba
1 : 7
Dekedda
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)