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Gabala 2 vs Shamakhi 2

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Samadli P.
38' Event
Agalarov S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this First Division 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Gabala 2
20%
Draws
38%
Shamakhi 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gabala 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Shamakhi 2 at 1.38 per game, Gabala 2 at 1.25.
  • Win probability leans Gabala 2's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular First Division 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Gabala 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Shamakhi 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gabala 2 Shamakhi 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 8 4
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2023 I Liqa
Gabala 2 vs Shamakhi 2
1:1
Aug 31, 2022 I Liqa
Shamakhi 2 vs Gabala 2
3:2
Mar 1, 2022 I Liqa
Gabala 2 vs Shamakhi 2
2:1
Oct 4, 2021 I Liqa
Shamakhi 2 vs Gabala 2
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gabala 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Agalarov S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Shamakhi 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Samadli P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gabala 2 42 / 100
Shamakhi 2 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gabala 2 Shamakhi 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shamakhi 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Gabala 2's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Gabala 2 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gabala 2 VS Shamakhi 2
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gabala 2

(Home)
23 May
Gabala 2
0 : 0
Qarabag Agdam 2
16 May
Zaqatala PFK
2 : 2
Gabala 2
09 May
Gabala 2
1 : 1
Neftci Baku 2
04 May
Sabail 2
1 : 0
Gabala 2
25 Apr
Gabala 2
0 : 1
Lokbatan
Page 1 of 6

Shamakhi 2

(Away)
23 May
Zira FK 2
2 : 2
Shamakhi 2
18 May
SumQayit FK 2
3 : 4
Shamakhi 2
10 May
Kapaz 2
0 : 1
Shamakhi 2
25 Apr
Shamakhi 2
2 : 1
Imisli FK
18 Apr
Qarabag Agdam 2
5 : 0
Shamakhi 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Araz PFK28223369:2269
2Neftci Baku 228185567:3259
3Turan 2281531049:3748
4Sabail 2281351046:4444
5Gabala 228128845:2844
6Zaqatala PFK281351049:4844
7Kapaz 2281341141:3643
8MOIK Baku28127943:4243
9Lokbatan281251130:2341
10Shamakhi 2281141340:5637
11Qarabag Agdam 228941532:3931
12Zira FK 2286101228:4128
13SumQayit FK 228641836:6022
14Mingachevir28551829:5120
15Imisli FK28622021:6620
Promotion - Premier League 2023/2024 (Main)