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Gabala vs Imisli FK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League Qäbälä Şähär Stadionu, Gabala
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Mabea K.
25' Event
Dos Santos D.
Penalty Missed
27'
Shahniyarov S.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Gabala and Imisli FK finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gabala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Gabala
15%
Draws
36%
Imisli FK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gabala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gabala come out ahead of Imisli FK on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Gabala Clean Sheet 26%
Imisli FK Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gabala Imisli FK
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 4
Draws 6 11
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.1 0.61
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Premier League
Gabala vs Imisli FK
2:1
Apr 12, 2026 Premier League
Gabala vs Imisli FK
0:1
Jan 30, 2026 Premier League
Gabala vs Imisli FK
3:2
Oct 18, 2025 Premier League
Imisli FK vs Gabala
2:2
Apr 18, 2025 I Liqa
Imisli FK vs Gabala
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gabala Compare

Top Goalscorer Mabea K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rossi K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Imisli FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Dos Santos D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gabala 38 / 100
Imisli FK 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gabala Imisli FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Imisli FK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Imisli FK has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Imisli FK registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Gabala found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Gabala VS Imisli FK
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gabala

(Home)
10 Oct
SumQayit FK
4 : 1
Gabala
18 Sept
Gabala
0 : 3
Neftci Baku
12 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 0
Gabala
04 Sept
Gabala
2 : 1
Imisli FK
29 Aug
Gabala
0 : 0
Shamakhi
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Imisli FK

(Away)
19 Sept
Sabah Baku
3 : 1
Imisli FK
11 Sept
Imisli FK
2 : 3
Neftci Baku
04 Sept
Gabala
2 : 1
Imisli FK
29 Aug
Safa Baku
0 : 1
Imisli FK
22 Aug
Zira FK
3 : 1
Imisli FK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftci Baku 7 5 1 1 18:5 16
2 Sabah Baku 6 5 1 0 14:1 16
3 Qarabag Agdam 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
4 Turan 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
5 Zira FK 7 3 2 2 8:9 11
6 Kapaz 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
7 Shamakhi 7 2 4 1 9:7 10
8 SumQayit FK 6 1 2 3 8:9 5
9 Gabala 7 1 1 5 3:11 4
10 Imisli FK 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
11 Safa Baku 6 1 0 5 2:11 3
12 Araz PFK 7 0 2 5 5:15 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa 2027/2028 (Main)