Sport Picks
Gabala vs Mingachevir - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Azerbaijan
Azerbaijan Cup 
Match Events
38'
38'
Shakarkhanov Z.
42'
42'
Cekici E.
43'
43'
Silva B.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gabala
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Mingachevir lately — more wins on the board than Gabala.
- Gabala are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Mingachevir arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Gabala, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Gabala here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Gabala Clean Sheet 20%
Mingachevir Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gabala | Mingachevir |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 32 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 16 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.56 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 27, 2026 Azerbaijan Cup
Gabala vs Mingachevir
3:0
May 28, 2026 Premier League
Gabala vs Mingachevir
2:0
Oct 29, 2025 Azerbaijan Cup
Gabala vs Mingachevir
5:1
Mar 28, 2025 I Liqa
Gabala vs Mingachevir
2:0
Dec 24, 2024 I Liqa
Mingachevir vs Gabala
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gabala Compare
Top Goalscorer Shakarkhanov Z.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cekici E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Mingachevir Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gabala 85 / 100
Mingachevir 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gabala Mingachevir
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gabala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mingachevir's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Mingachevir lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Gabala scored in 59% of their last 32 outings.
Scoring Trends
Gabala VS Mingachevir
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Gabala
(Home) 27 Oct
Gabala
3 : 0 Mingachevir
23 Oct
Araz PFK
1 : 2 Gabala
17 Oct
Gabala
0 : 4 Sabah FC
10 Oct
SumQayit FK
4 : 1 Gabala
18 Sept
Gabala
0 : 3 Neftci Baku
Page 1 of 7
27 Oct
Gabala
3 : 0 Mingachevir
17 Oct
Gabala
0 : 4 Sabah FC
18 Sept
Gabala
0 : 3 Neftci Baku
04 Sept
Gabala
2 : 1 Imisli FK
29 Aug
Gabala
0 : 0 Shamakhi
Page 1 of 4
Mingachevir
(Away) 27 Oct
Gabala
3 : 0 Mingachevir
21 Oct
FC Khankendi
0 : 1 Mingachevir
15 Oct
Mingachevir
1 : 4 Shimal
09 Oct
MOIK Baku
3 : 0 Mingachevir
17 Sept
Mingachevir
0 : 3 Gancabasar
Page 1 of 7
27 Oct
Gabala
3 : 0 Mingachevir
21 Oct
FC Khankendi
0 : 1 Mingachevir
09 Oct
MOIK Baku
3 : 0 Mingachevir
10 Sept
Sabail
2 : 1 Mingachevir
28 May
Gabala
2 : 0 Mingachevir
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Shimal 0
Araz PFK 6
Marafon 1
Zaqatala PFK 0
Sabah FC -
TBD -
Imisli FK 4
Lokbatan 1
Kur-Araz 0
SumQayit FK 11
TBD -
Qarabag Agdam -
Gabala 3
Mingachevir 0
MOIK Baku 1
Sahdag Qusar 9
FC Khankendi 2
Gancabasar 3
Hypers Guba 1
Shamakhi 5
Neftci Baku -
TBD -
Safa Baku 9
Agstafa Gencleri 2
Zangazur (Am) 1
Karvan 4
Sabail 2
Zira FK 3
Turan -
TBD -
Kapaz 3
Baku Sporting 1
1/8-finals
Araz PFK -
Marafon -
Sabah FC -
Imisli FK -
SumQayit FK -
Qarabag Agdam -
Gabala -
Sahdag Qusar -
Gancabasar -
Shamakhi -
Neftci Baku -
Safa Baku -
Karvan -
Zira FK -
Turan -
Kapaz -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
