Sport Picks
Gabala vs Qarabag Agdam - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Azerbaijan
Premier League Qäbälä Şähär Stadionu, Gabala 
AI Match Summary
Gabala host Qarabag Agdam in the Premier League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Gabala have averaged 1.13 scored and 1.39 conceded recently, against Qarabag Agdam's 1.97 scored and 1.05 conceded. Past meetings favor Qarabag Agdam slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 0.69 vs 1.13, favoring Qarabag Agdam. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Qarabag Agdam carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Qarabag Agdam a 57% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gabala | Qarabag Agdam |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 37 |
| Wins | 10 | 21 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Qarabag Agdam let in goals in 62% of their last 37 matches.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Gabala's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Recent resilience: Gabala stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Gabala
(Home)Qarabag Agdam
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftci Baku | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18:5 | 16 |
| 2 | Sabah Baku | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14:1 | 16 |
| 3 | Qarabag Agdam | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 13 |
| 4 | Turan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 11 |
| 5 | Zira FK | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | 10 |
| 6 | Kapaz | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 7 | Shamakhi | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 8 | Gabala | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2:7 | 4 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 10 | Safa Baku | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2:11 | 3 |
| 11 | SumQayit FK | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:8 | 2 |
| 12 | Araz PFK | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:15 | 2 |
