Sport Picks
Gabala vs Sabah Baku - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Azerbaijan
Premier League Qäbälä Şähär Stadionu, Gabala 
AI Match Summary
Gabala host Sabah Baku in the Premier League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Gabala at 1.13 goals for, 1.39 against; Sabah Baku at 2.23 for, 0.95 against. Head-to-head, Gabala have won 0 to Sabah Baku's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 10, 2026, ending 7:1. Model xG sits at 0.75 vs 1.63, favoring Sabah Baku. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Gabala haven't matched Sabah Baku's recent run of results.
- 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Sabah Baku have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gabala | Sabah Baku |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 40 |
| Wins | 10 | 28 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 15 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 2.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 0.95 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Gabala's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Sabah Baku has conceded goals in 57% of their last 40 outings.
Gabala went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Gabala
(Home)Sabah Baku
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftci Baku | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18:5 | 16 |
| 2 | Sabah Baku | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14:1 | 16 |
| 3 | Qarabag Agdam | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 13 |
| 4 | Turan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 11 |
| 5 | Zira FK | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | 10 |
| 6 | Kapaz | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 7 | Shamakhi | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 8 | Gabala | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2:7 | 4 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 10 | Safa Baku | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2:11 | 3 |
| 11 | SumQayit FK | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:8 | 2 |
| 12 | Araz PFK | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:15 | 2 |
