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Gabala vs Sabah Baku - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League Qäbälä Şähär Stadionu, Gabala
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Khaybulaev A.
46'
Sub
Bulus J. In: Puchacz T.
Out: Bulus J.
46'
Sub
Ubochioma M. In: Cekici E.
Out: Ubochioma M.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Gabala and Sabah Baku finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sabah Baku.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Gabala
15%
Draws
69%
Sabah Baku
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sabah Baku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Gabala haven't matched Sabah Baku's recent run of results.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on Sabah Baku taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sabah Baku have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Gabala Clean Sheet 10%
Sabah Baku Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gabala Sabah Baku
Matches Played 31 39
Wins 9 28
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1.1 2.23
Goals Conceded 1.58 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2026 Premier League
Gabala vs Sabah Baku
0:4
Mar 10, 2026 Premier League
Sabah Baku vs Gabala
7:1
Mar 5, 2026 Azerbaijan Cup
Gabala vs Sabah Baku
3:4
Feb 16, 2026 Premier League
Gabala vs Sabah Baku
0:1
Feb 4, 2026 Azerbaijan Cup
Sabah Baku vs Gabala
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gabala Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Sabah Baku Compare

Top Goalscorer Isayev A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Khaybulaev A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gabala 10 / 100
Sabah Baku 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gabala Sabah Baku

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sabah Baku Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Gabala's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Sabah Baku has conceded goals in 54% of their last 39 outings.

Gabala went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gabala VS Sabah Baku
0.38 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gabala

(Home)
17 Oct
Gabala
0 : 4
Sabah Baku
10 Oct
SumQayit FK
4 : 1
Gabala
18 Sept
Gabala
0 : 3
Neftci Baku
12 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 0
Gabala
04 Sept
Gabala
2 : 1
Imisli FK
Page 1 of 7

Sabah Baku

(Away)
17 Oct
Gabala
0 : 4
Sabah Baku
13 Oct
Sabah Baku
2 : 0
Slavia Prague
09 Oct
Neftci Baku
0 : 0
Sabah Baku
19 Sept
Sabah Baku
3 : 1
Imisli FK
14 Sept
Safa Baku
0 : 3
Sabah Baku
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sabah Baku 7 6 1 0 18:1 19
2 Neftci Baku 8 5 2 1 21:8 17
3 Qarabag Agdam 7 5 2 0 14:7 17
4 Turan 8 4 2 2 7:5 14
5 Shamakhi 8 3 4 1 12:9 13
6 Zira FK 8 3 3 2 9:10 12
7 Kapaz 7 3 2 2 7:8 11
8 SumQayit FK 7 2 2 3 10:10 8
9 Imisli FK 8 2 1 5 7:13 7
10 Gabala 8 1 1 6 3:15 4
11 Safa Baku 8 1 0 7 4:15 3
12 Araz PFK 8 0 2 6 6:17 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa 2027/2028 (Main)