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Gabala vs Standard Sumqayit Prediction & H2H Stats

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2009/2010 game between Gabala and Standard Sumqayit finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gabala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Gabala
20%
Draws
51%
Standard Sumqayit
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Standard Sumqayit

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Standard Sumqayit haven't matched Gabala's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Standard Sumqayit's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Gabala have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Gabala Clean Sheet 12%
Standard Sumqayit Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gabala Standard Sumqayit
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.16 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2010 Premier League
Gabala vs Standard Sumqayit
2:1
Nov 20, 2009 Premier League
Standard Sumqayit vs Gabala
1:2
Apr 18, 2009 Premier League
Gabala vs Standard Sumqayit
2:1
Oct 25, 2008 Premier League
Standard Sumqayit vs Gabala
2:0
Feb 17, 2008 Premier League
Gabala vs Standard Sumqayit
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gabala 10 / 100
Standard Sumqayit 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gabala Standard Sumqayit

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Standard Sumqayit Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Standard Sumqayit let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Gabala's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Gabala has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gabala VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gabala

(Home)
18 Sept
Gabala
0 : 3
Neftci Baku
12 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 0
Gabala
04 Sept
Gabala
2 : 1
Imisli FK
29 Aug
Gabala
0 : 0
Shamakhi
22 Aug
Gabala
0 : 1
Safa Baku
Page 1 of 7

Standard Sumqayit

(Away)
16 May
Zaqatala PFK
0 : 4
Standard Sumqayit
09 May
Standard Sumqayit
6 : 0
Karvan
01 May
Standard Sumqayit
0 : 2
Salyan
23 Apr
Turan
0 : 0
Standard Sumqayit
18 Apr
Standard Sumqayit
0 : 1
Shuvalan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shamakhi 22 15 4 3 36:18 49
2 Khazar Lenkoran 22 12 8 2 29:11 44
3 Qarabag Agdam 22 11 9 2 21:12 42
4 FK Baku 22 10 7 5 22:17 37
5 Gabala 22 10 6 6 24:21 36
6 Neftci Baku 22 9 8 5 20:14 35
7 Zaqatala PFK 22 9 7 6 26:21 34
8 Shuvalan 22 6 7 9 20:23 25
9 Turan 22 4 5 13 23:32 17
10 Salyan 22 3 7 12 12:27 16
11 Standard Sumqayit 22 2 5 15 16:34 11
12 Karvan 22 2 5 15 17:36 11
Relegation - Premier League 2009/2010 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Premier League 2009/2010 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Premier League 2009/2010 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Premier League 2009/2010 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Premier League 2009/2010 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Premier League 2009/2010 (Relegation Group)
Promotion - Premier League 2009/2010 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League 2009/2010 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League 2009/2010 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League 2009/2010 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League 2009/2010 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League 2009/2010 (Championship Group)