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Stadium Background

Gabon U17 vs Ethiopia U17

Africa Africa

CAF African Championship U17 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Gabon U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Gabon U17
20%
Draws
64%
Ethiopia U17
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ethiopia U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Ethiopia U17 haven't matched Gabon U17's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ethiopia U17's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Gabon U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Gabon U17, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Gabon U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Ethiopia U17 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gabon U17 Ethiopia U17
Matches Played 24 16
Wins 9 6
Draws 5 3
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.33 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Gabon U17 vs Ethiopia U17
3:0
Jul 20, 2014 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Ethiopia U17 vs Gabon U17
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gabon U17 24 / 100
Ethiopia U17 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gabon U17 Ethiopia U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ethiopia U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gabon U17 found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (24 games).

Defensive concern: Ethiopia U17 conceded in 63% of 16 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Ethiopia U17's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Gabon U17 VS Ethiopia U17
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gabon U17

(Home)
20 May
Gabon U17
0 : 1
Cameroon U17
17 May
Ghana U17
5 : 0
Gabon U17
14 May
Gabon U17
1 : 5
Guinea U17
01 Oct
Gabon U17
3 : 3
Niger U17
18 Sept
Niger U17
1 : 0
Gabon U17
Page 1 of 5

Ethiopia U17

(Away)
23 May
Ethiopia U17
1 : 2
Mozambique U17
19 May
Tunisia U17
0 : 1
Ethiopia U17
16 May
Ethiopia U17
1 : 2
Morocco U17
13 May
Egypt U17
0 : 0
Ethiopia U17
02 Oct
Ethiopia U17
1 : 2
Mali U17
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Zambia U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Botswana U17 -
Rwanda U17 -
TBD -
Seychelles U17 1
Uganda U17 5
Gabon U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Ethiopia U17 -
D.R. Congo U17 -
Burundi U17 -
TBD -
Nigeria U17 -
Guinea U17 -
Gambia U17 -
TBD -
Morocco U17 -
Senegal U17 -
TBD -
Guinea-Bissau U17 -
Togo U17 -
Cameroon U17 -
Central Africa U17 -
TBD -
Burkina Faso U17 -
South Sudan U17 -
Kenya U17 -
TBD -
Ghana U17 -
Angola U17 -
TBD -
Namibia U17 1
Mozambique U17 2
Libya U17 -
Mauritania U17 -
TBD -
Ivory Coast U17 -
Benin U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Mali U17 -
Sierra Leone U17 -
Liberia U17 -
TBD -
Tunisia U17 -
South Africa U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tanzania U17 -
Congo U17 -
TBD -
Sudan U17 3
Egypt U17 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
Zambia U17 6
Botswana U17 0
Rwanda U17 2
Uganda U17 7
Gabon U17 3
Ethiopia U17 0
D.R. Congo U17 0
Nigeria U17 5
Guinea U17 3
Morocco U17 1
Senegal U17 1
Togo U17 1
Cameroon U17 2
Burkina Faso U17 0
South Sudan U17 -
Ghana U17 -
Angola U17 3
Mozambique U17 2
Libya U17 0
Ivory Coast U17 7
Benin U17 1
Mali U17 0
Sierra Leone U17 -
Tunisia U17 -
South Africa U17 4
Tanzania U17 0
Congo U17 1
Egypt U17 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Zambia U17 4
Uganda U17 1
Gabon U17 2
Nigeria U17 6
Guinea U17 4
Togo U17 0
Cameroon U17 4
Ghana U17 6
Angola U17 1
Ivory Coast U17 4
Mali U17 5
Tunisia U17 1
South Africa U17 4
Egypt U17 3
TBD -
TBD -