Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gabon U23 vs Madagascar U23

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23
Gabon U23 Logo

Gabon U23

4 - 0
FT
Madagascar U23 Logo

Madagascar U23

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. This leg finished 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Gabon U23
15%
Draws
55%
Madagascar U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Madagascar U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gabon U23 lately — more wins on the board than Madagascar U23.
  • 55% — that's where the model lands on Madagascar U23 taking it.
  • Gabon U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Gabon U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Gabon U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Madagascar U23 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gabon U23 Madagascar U23
Matches Played 12 4
Wins 3 2
Draws 3 0
Losses 6 2
Goals Scored 0.83 3
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Gabon U23 vs Madagascar U23
4:0
Oct 23, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Madagascar U23 vs Gabon U23
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gabon U23 10 / 100
Madagascar U23 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gabon U23 Madagascar U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Madagascar U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Madagascar U23 let in goals in 75% of their last 4 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Gabon U23 scored in 58% of their last 12 games.

Recent resilience: Gabon U23 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gabon U23 VS Madagascar U23
1 Goals Scored 3
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Gabon U23

(Home)
01 Jul
Gabon U23
0 : 2
Egypt U23
28 Jun
Gabon U23
0 : 1
Niger U23
25 Jun
Mali U23
3 : 1
Gabon U23
28 Mar
Cameroon U23
1 : 1
Gabon U23
25 Mar
Gabon U23
1 : 0
Cameroon U23
Page 1 of 3

Madagascar U23

(Away)
29 Oct
Gabon U23
4 : 0
Madagascar U23
23 Oct
Madagascar U23
0 : 1
Gabon U23
27 Sept
Seychelles U23
1 : 7
Madagascar U23
24 Sept
Madagascar U23
5 : 0
Seychelles U23

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Guinea Bissau U23 2
Niger U23 4
TBD -
Ivory Coast U23 -
Sudan U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Benin U23 -
Tanzania U23 3
South Sudan U23 3
TBD -
Nigeria U23 -
Guinea U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Uganda U23 -
Eswatini U23 3
Botswana U23 2
TBD -
Egypt U23 -
Sierra Leone U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia U23 -
Mauritania U23 1
Togo U23 2
TBD -
South Africa U23 -
Congo U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tunisia U23 -
Ethiopia U23 0
D.R. Congo U23 1
TBD -
Algeria U23 -
Mozambique U23 5
Mauritius U23 1
TBD -
Ghana U23 -
Burkina Faso U23 2
Gambia U23 2
TBD -
Senegal U23 -
Libya U23 4
Rwanda U23 4
TBD -
Mali U23 -
Madagascar U23 12
Seychelles U23 1
TBD -
Gabon U23 -
Angola U23 8
Namibia U23 1
TBD -
Cameroon U23 -
Semi-finals
Niger U23 1
Ivory Coast U23 1
Sudan U23 3
Benin U23 3
Tanzania U23 1
Nigeria U23 3
Guinea U23 -
Uganda U23 -
Eswatini U23 0
Egypt U23 1
Sierra Leone U23 1
Zambia U23 2
Togo U23 2
South Africa U23 2
Congo U23 2
Tunisia U23 2
D.R. Congo U23 5
Algeria U23 4
Mozambique U23 1
Ghana U23 4
Burkina Faso U23 0
Senegal U23 1
Rwanda U23 1
Mali U23 2
Madagascar U23 0
Gabon U23 5
Angola U23 2
Cameroon U23 3
Final
Niger U23 2
Sudan U23 1
Nigeria U23 0
Guinea U23 2
Egypt U23 2
Zambia U23 0
South Africa U23 1
Congo U23 1
Algeria U23 1
Ghana U23 2
Senegal U23 3
Mali U23 4
Gabon U23 2
Cameroon U23 1