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Gabon vs Congo

World World

Friendly International 2024 Stade des Marais, Chambly
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Meye A.
45'
Moucketou-Moussounda A.
74' Event
Makouta G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Gabon
20%
Draws
32%
Congo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gabon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gabon lately — more wins on the board than Congo.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Gabon Clean Sheet 68%
Congo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gabon Congo
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 3
Draws 4 8
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.57 0.61
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.46 0.72
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2024 Friendly International
Gabon vs Congo
1:1
Jan 21, 2015 Africa Cup of Nations
Gabon vs Congo
0:1
Jun 8, 2013 World Championship
Gabon vs Congo
0:0
Mar 23, 2013 World Championship
Congo vs Gabon
1:0
Jun 5, 2010 African Nations Championship
Gabon vs Congo
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gabon Compare

Top Goalscorer Meye A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.73

Congo Compare

Top Goalscorer Makouta G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gabon 41 / 100
Congo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gabon Congo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gabon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Congo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Gabon scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Difficult form: Congo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 0.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Gabon VS Congo
1.63 Goals Scored 0.57
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.29
63% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 14%
38% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Gabon

(Home)
30 Mar
Trinidad & Tobago
2 : 3
Gabon
27 Mar
Uzbekistan
3 : 1
Gabon
31 Dec
Gabon
2 : 3
Ivory Coast
28 Dec
Gabon
2 : 3
Mozambique
24 Dec
Cameroon
1 : 0
Gabon
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Congo

(Away)
14 Oct
Morocco
1 : 0
Congo
08 Oct
Niger
3 : 1
Congo
05 Sept
Congo
1 : 1
Tanzania
19 Aug
Nigeria
2 : 0
Congo
12 Aug
Senegal
1 : 1
Congo
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