Sport Picks
Match Events
78'
78'
Mbingui S.
Penalty Missed
1'
1'
Tambedou M.
(Penalty)
1'
1'
Evouna M.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gambia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Gabon have won more games recently than Gambia.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Gabon have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Gambia, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Gabon Clean Sheet 10%
Gambia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gabon | Gambia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 10, 2025 World Championship
Gambia vs Gabon
3:4
Mar 8, 2025 African Nations Championship
Gabon vs Gambia
0:1
Feb 28, 2025 African Nations Championship
Gambia vs Gabon
0:0
Jun 11, 2024 World Championship
Gabon vs Gambia
3:2
Nov 16, 2020 Africa Cup of Nations
Gambia vs Gabon
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gabon 30 / 100
Gambia 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gabon Gambia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Gabon scored in 70% of their last 27 games.
Gambia has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.
Solid form: Gabon remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Gabon VS Gambia
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Gabon
(Home) 25 Sept
Morocco
2 : 0 Gabon
30 Mar
Trinidad & Tobago
2 : 3 Gabon
27 Mar
Uzbekistan
3 : 1 Gabon
31 Dec
Gabon
2 : 3 Ivory Coast
28 Dec
Gabon
2 : 3 Mozambique
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31 Dec
Gabon
2 : 3 Ivory Coast
28 Dec
Gabon
2 : 3 Mozambique
14 Oct
Gabon
2 : 0 Burundi
09 Sept
Gabon
0 : 0 Ivory Coast
20 Mar
Gabon
3 : 0 Seychelles
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Gambia
(Away) 25 Sept
Gambia
2 : 1 Somalia
29 May
Iran
3 : 1 Gambia
31 Mar
Senegal
3 : 1 Gambia
18 Nov
Kuwait
2 : 2 Gambia
14 Oct
Seychelles
0 : 7 Gambia
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29 May
Iran
3 : 1 Gambia
31 Mar
Senegal
3 : 1 Gambia
18 Nov
Kuwait
2 : 2 Gambia
14 Oct
Seychelles
0 : 7 Gambia
05 Sept
Kenya
1 : 3 Gambia
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
Semi-finals
Comoros 0
Malawi 4
South Africa 4
Egypt 2
Gambia 1
Gabon 0
TBD -
Algeria -
Final
Malawi 1
South Africa 2
Gambia 0
Algeria 3
