Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2018/2019

Gafanha

1 - 3

Lusitania FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2018/2019 game between Gafanha and Lusitania FC finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lusitania FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Gafanha

39%

Draws

30%

Lusitania FC

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Lusitania FC come out ahead of Gafanha on wins alone.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%

Gafanha Clean Sheet 20%

Lusitania FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Gafanha	Lusitania FC
Matches Played	30	28
Wins	8	10
Draws	3	7
Losses	19	11
Goals Scored	0	1.25
Goals Conceded	0	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

Gafanha vs Lusitania FC

Possession: 53% - 49% Cards: 1 - 1

1:3

Oct 14, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

Lusitania FC vs Gafanha

Possession: 59% - 53% Cards: 4 - 1

3:3

Apr 10, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D

Lusitania FC vs Gafanha

Possession: 41% - 52% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

Feb 21, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D

Gafanha vs Lusitania FC

Possession: 45% - 42% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

Nov 29, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D

Gafanha vs Lusitania FC

Possession: 47% - 40% Cards: 3 - 1

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gafanha 32 / 100

Lusitania FC 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Gafanha Lusitania FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUS Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gafanha scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Lusitania FC let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Away concern: Lusitania FC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lusitania FC

0 Goals Scored 1.25

0 Goals Conceded 1.63

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	SC Espinho	34	20	9	5	52:20	69
2	Lusitania FC	34	19	12	3	52:27	69
3	Gondomar	34	18	10	6	50:22	64
4	Agueda	34	16	12	6	43:26	60
5	Lusitano FCV	34	17	8	9	59:28	59
6	Sanjoanense	34	15	10	9	44:34	55
7	Amarante FC	34	15	9	10	45:28	54
8	Coimbroes	34	13	10	11	43:39	49
9	Maritimo B	34	12	13	9	53:40	49
10	Paredes	34	13	7	14	42:33	46
11	U. Madeira	34	12	8	14	28:35	44
12	Leca	34	12	7	15	34:41	43
13	Pedras Rubras	34	9	15	10	36:43	42
14	Cinfaes	34	11	8	15	33:40	41
15	Gafanha	34	11	4	19	46:69	37
16	Penalva do Castelo	34	7	7	20	27:66	28
17	FC Cesarense	34	4	13	17	37:55	25
18	Meda	34	0	2	32	21:99	2