Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gafanha vs Maritimo B

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2018/2019
Sun, Jan 27, 2019
0 - 3
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gafanha host Maritimo B in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2018/2019. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Gafanha at 1.2 goals for, 2.17 against; Maritimo B at 1.1 for, 1.74 against. Past meetings favor Maritimo B slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 27, 2019, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.42 xG vs 1.18) point toward Maritimo B. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 0-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Gafanha
15%
Draws
42%
Maritimo B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gafanha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Gafanha have won more games recently than Maritimo B.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Gafanha Clean Sheet 20%
Maritimo B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gafanha Maritimo B
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 7
Draws 3 5
Losses 19 19
Goals Scored 1.2 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Gafanha vs Maritimo B
0:3
Aug 19, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Maritimo B vs Gafanha
3:2
Jan 28, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Maritimo B vs Gafanha
0:0
Sep 10, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Gafanha vs Maritimo B
1:0
Apr 30, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Gafanha vs Maritimo B
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gafanha 36 / 100
Maritimo B 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gafanha Maritimo B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maritimo B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maritimo B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

Attacking prowess: Gafanha scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Maritimo B lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Maritimo B
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gafanha

(Home)
12 May
Gafanha
0 : 4
SC Espinho
05 May
Amarante FC
2 : 1
Gafanha
28 Apr
Gafanha
2 : 1
Lusitano FCV
20 Apr
Gondomar
6 : 1
Gafanha
14 Apr
Gafanha
2 : 1
Meda
Page 1 of 6

Maritimo B

(Away)
13 Apr
Maritimo B
2 : 3
Cinfaes
06 Apr
Coimbroes
1 : 2
Maritimo B
29 Mar
Maritimo B
0 : 1
AD Marco 09
16 Mar
Camacha
1 : 0
Maritimo B
09 Mar
Maritimo B
1 : 0
Regua
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Espinho 34 20 9 5 52:20 69
2 Lusitania FC 34 19 12 3 52:27 69
3 Gondomar 34 18 10 6 50:22 64
4 Agueda 34 16 12 6 43:26 60
5 Lusitano FCV 34 17 8 9 59:28 59
6 Sanjoanense 34 15 10 9 44:34 55
7 Amarante FC 34 15 9 10 45:28 54
8 Coimbroes 34 13 10 11 43:39 49
9 Maritimo B 34 12 13 9 53:40 49
10 Paredes 34 13 7 14 42:33 46
11 U. Madeira 34 12 8 14 28:35 44
12 Leca 34 12 7 15 34:41 43
13 Pedras Rubras 34 9 15 10 36:43 42
14 Cinfaes 34 11 8 15 33:40 41
15 Gafanha 34 11 4 19 46:69 37
16 Penalva do Castelo 34 7 7 20 27:66 28
17 FC Cesarense 34 4 13 17 37:55 25
18 Meda 34 0 2 32 21:99 2
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)