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Gafsa vs Espoir Bouchama

Tunisia Tunisia

Tunisia Cup 2012
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
53' Event
58' Event

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Gafsa advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gafsa
25%
Draws
35%
Espoir Bouchama
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Gafsa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Gafsa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Gafsa taking it.
  • Gafsa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Gafsa, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Gafsa Clean Sheet 20%
Espoir Bouchama Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gafsa Espoir Bouchama
Matches Played 32 2
Wins 13 1
Draws 7 0
Losses 12 1
Goals Scored 1.22 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.19 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2012 Tunisia Cup
Gafsa vs Espoir Bouchama
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gafsa 49 / 100
Espoir Bouchama 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gafsa Espoir Bouchama

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EGS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Espoir Bouchama's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 2 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Gafsa found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Gafsa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gafsa VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gafsa

(Home)
12 May
Gafsa
5 : 2
Sidi Bouzid
02 May
Ariana
1 : 1
Gafsa
28 Apr
Gafsa
1 : 0
Jendouba Sport
19 Apr
Ksour Essef
4 : 2
Gafsa
11 Apr
Gafsa
0 : 0
Redeyef
Page 1 of 7

Espoir Bouchama

(Away)
09 Jun
Gafsa
4 : 0
Espoir Bouchama
13 May
Espoir Bouchama
3 : 1
Union Ksibet Mediouni

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
CS Sfaxien -
TBD -
Aigle Teboulba 1
AS Djerba 2
LPTA Tozeur 4
Sbeitla 0
TBD -
Stade Tunisien -
Hamam-Sousse -
TBD -
EO Goulette Kram 2
Hammamet 4
JS Kairouan -
TBD -
TBD -
Zarzis -
Metlaoui 2
Sporting Ben Arous 0
MS Manouba 0
Jeunesse Sportive 2
Kalaa 4
Stade Nabeulien 3
TBD -
AS Marsa -
Mateur 3
Moknine 1
HSKK 0
Oued Ellil 1
CA Bizertin -
TBD -
TBD -
Esperance Tunis -
Hilalien 3
Kerkennah 2
TBD -
Club Africain -
Espoir Bouchama 3
Union Ksibet Mediouni 1
TBD -
Gafsa -
CO Transports 2
Jendouba Sport 0
Messadine 2
Grombalia Sports 4
Club Nafta 2
Kasserine 2
Msaken 2
Korba 3
Olympique Beja -
TBD -
TBD -
Hammam-Lif -
Monastir -
TBD -
TBD -
ES Beni-Khalled -
AS Gabes -
TBD -
Olympique Kef 1
Ben Guerdane 2
Stade Gabesien -
TBD -
TBD -
Etoile Sahel -
1/16-finals
CS Sfaxien 4
AS Djerba 3
LPTA Tozeur 0
Stade Tunisien 5
Hamam-Sousse 2
Hammamet 1
JS Kairouan 1
Zarzis 2
Metlaoui 2
Jeunesse Sportive 1
Kalaa 1
AS Marsa 2
Mateur 1
Oued Ellil 0
CA Bizertin 0
Esperance Tunis 3
Hilalien 3
Club Africain 1
Espoir Bouchama 0
Gafsa 4
CO Transports 2
Grombalia Sports 1
Club Nafta 1
Korba 2
Olympique Beja 2
Hammam-Lif 1
Monastir 0
ES Beni-Khalled 1
AS Gabes 3
Ben Guerdane 2
Stade Gabesien -
Etoile Sahel -
1/8-finals
CS Sfaxien 2
Stade Tunisien 1
Hamam-Sousse 0
Zarzis 2
Metlaoui 3
AS Marsa 0
Mateur 0
Esperance Tunis 2
Hilalien 2
Gafsa 0
CO Transports 1
Korba 2
Olympique Beja 4
ES Beni-Khalled 2
AS Gabes 0
Etoile Sahel 3
Quarter-finals
CS Sfaxien 3
Zarzis 0
Metlaoui 0
Esperance Tunis 1
Hilalien 1
Korba 0
Olympique Beja 1
Etoile Sahel 2
Semi-finals
CS Sfaxien 2
Esperance Tunis 1
Hilalien 1
Etoile Sahel 2
Final
CS Sfaxien 0
Etoile Sahel 1