Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gafsa vs Sidi Bouzid

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Ajmni A.
(Penalty)
42' Event
Zakaria A.
43' Event
Zakaria A.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Gafsa and Sidi Bouzid finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gafsa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Gafsa
20%
Draws
0%
Sidi Bouzid
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gafsa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Sidi Bouzid haven't matched Gafsa's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Gafsa's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Gafsa have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Gafsa Clean Sheet 68%
Sidi Bouzid Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gafsa Sidi Bouzid
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 1.07 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.17 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Ligue 2
Gafsa vs Sidi Bouzid
5:2
Dec 14, 2025 Ligue 2
Sidi Bouzid vs Gafsa
0:1
Dec 6, 2020 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Gafsa vs Sidi Bouzid
2:1
Jan 26, 2019 Ligue 2
Sidi Bouzid vs Gafsa
0:3
Oct 6, 2018 Ligue 2
Gafsa vs Sidi Bouzid
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gafsa Compare

Top Goalscorer Zakaria A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ajmni A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Sidi Bouzid Compare

Top Goalscorer Letaief A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zaafouri K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gafsa 95 / 100
Sidi Bouzid 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gafsa Sidi Bouzid

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gafsa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sidi Bouzid let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Sidi Bouzid lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Gafsa scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Gafsa VS Sidi Bouzid
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gafsa

(Home)
12 May
Gafsa
5 : 2
Sidi Bouzid
02 May
Ariana
1 : 1
Gafsa
28 Apr
Gafsa
1 : 0
Jendouba Sport
19 Apr
Ksour Essef
4 : 2
Gafsa
11 Apr
Gafsa
0 : 0
Redeyef
Page 1 of 6

Sidi Bouzid

(Away)
12 May
Gafsa
5 : 2
Sidi Bouzid
02 May
Sidi Bouzid
0 : 2
Bouchamma
28 Apr
Sidi Bouzid
1 : 5
Korba
19 Apr
Ariana
3 : 0
Sidi Bouzid
11 Apr
Sidi Bouzid
1 : 3
Jendouba Sport
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hamam-Sousse 26 15 6 5 40:19 51
2 Hammam-Lif 26 15 6 5 36:14 51
3 US Tataouine 26 15 6 5 34:16 51
4 Sfax Railways 26 13 7 6 35:26 46
5 Sporting Ben Arous 26 8 10 8 30:19 34
6 Kerkennah 26 8 10 8 27:27 34
7 Chebba 26 8 9 9 33:37 33
8 Msaken 26 7 10 9 23:28 31
9 BS Bouhajla 26 7 9 10 21:23 30
10 Megrine 26 7 9 10 25:35 30
11 EM Mahdia 26 6 10 10 18:25 28
12 AS Agareb 26 7 7 12 22:33 28
13 Bousalem 26 6 7 13 19:34 25
14 Menzel Bourguiba 26 3 8 15 15:42 17
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 16 8 2 54:15 56
2 Stade Gabesien 26 15 8 3 43:16 53
3 Kasserine 26 14 5 7 31:18 47
4 Jendouba Sport 26 9 11 6 34:24 38
5 Korba 26 9 10 7 21:20 37
6 Bouchamma 26 9 8 9 35:30 35
7 Gafsa 26 9 7 10 28:31 34
8 Ariana 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ksour Essef 26 9 5 12 40:34 32
10 Redeyef 26 8 8 10 27:39 32
11 Kalaa 26 9 3 14 28:44 30
12 Moknine 26 7 8 11 29:36 29
13 Djelma 26 6 8 12 16:33 26
14 Sidi Bouzid 26 3 5 18 17:57 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)