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Gagra vs FC Rustavi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga David Petriashvili Stadium, Tbilisi
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gagra host FC Rustavi in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. FC Rustavi have shipped 0.9 goals a game lately, while Gagra have conceded 1.33 and scored 1.2. Head-to-head, Gagra have won 3 to FC Rustavi's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 22, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (0.81 - 1.44) back FC Rustavi to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Gagra
30%
Draws
58%
FC Rustavi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Rustavi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Rustavi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans FC Rustavi's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Gagra Clean Sheet 16%
FC Rustavi Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gagra FC Rustavi
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 16
Draws 11 6
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.2 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
FC Rustavi vs Gagra
3:0
May 16, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Gagra vs FC Rustavi
1:1
Mar 15, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
FC Rustavi vs Gagra
1:2
Nov 1, 2021 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Gagra vs FC Rustavi
2:0
Sep 10, 2021 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Rustavi vs Gagra
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gagra 10 / 100
FC Rustavi 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gagra FC Rustavi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Rustavi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gagra scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

FC Rustavi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Gagra has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gagra VS FC Rustavi
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gagra

(Home)
11 Oct
Samgurali
3 : 0
Gagra
19 Sept
Gagra
1 : 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli
14 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi
4 : 0
Gagra
10 Sept
Gagra
1 : 1
Torpedo Kutaisi
05 Sept
Dila Gori
1 : 0
Gagra
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FC Rustavi

(Away)
10 Oct
FC Rustavi
3 : 1
Dila Gori
26 Sept
Samtredia
1 : 2
FC Rustavi
21 Sept
FC Rustavi
0 : 2
Iberia 1999
14 Sept
Meshakhte Tkibuli
0 : 1
FC Rustavi
09 Sept
Spaeri
1 : 1
FC Rustavi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Rustavi 28 14 7 7 35:24 49
2 Iberia 1999 28 15 4 9 40:31 49
3 Dinamo Tbilisi 27 13 9 5 45:30 48
4 Dinamo Batumi 27 13 8 6 46:36 47
5 Dila Gori 28 12 4 12 39:33 40
6 Torpedo Kutaisi 28 9 10 9 46:37 37
7 Samgurali 27 9 5 13 38:52 32
8 Gagra 27 6 11 10 25:37 29
9 Spaeri 28 5 11 12 37:46 26
10 Meshakhte Tkibuli 28 2 11 15 21:46 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)