Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gagra vs FC Tbilisi

Georgia Georgia

Pirveli Liga 2007/2008
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gagra in this Pirveli Liga 2007/2008 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gagra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Gagra
44%
Draws
20%
FC Tbilisi
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Tbilisi have won more games recently than Gagra.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Gagra Clean Sheet 20%
FC Tbilisi Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gagra FC Tbilisi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 10 5
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2008 Georgian Cup
FC Tbilisi vs Gagra
3:0
Jul 31, 2008 Georgian Cup
Gagra vs FC Tbilisi
2:4
Apr 18, 2008 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Tbilisi vs Gagra
2:2
Nov 20, 2007 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Gagra vs FC Tbilisi
4:3
Sep 15, 2007 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Tbilisi vs Gagra
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gagra 36 / 100
FC Tbilisi 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gagra FC Tbilisi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TBI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Tbilisi has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Gagra went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Gagra scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gagra VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gagra27166559:3654
2Dinamo Tbilisi 227147641:2449
3WIT Georgia 227146741:2148
4Meshakre27139534:2248
5Chikhura Sachkhere27127840:3743
6FC Tbilisi27981035:4135
7Kakheti Telavi271041338:4134
8Ameri Tbilisi II27921642:4429
9FC Olimpiki Tbilisi27741638:5225
10Norchi Dinamo Tbilisi27171920:7010
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chiatura27214256:1767
2Merani Martvili27135936:2544
3Meshakhte Tkibuli271421139:4144
4FC Zestaponi 2271241139:2840
5Kolkheti 191327117936:3340
6Torpedo Kutaisi271161037:3139
7Khobi27108935:2738
8Samtredia27951335:5032
9Universiteti Kutaisi27931524:2930
10Racha Ambrolauri27222317:738