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Gagra vs Mglebi Zugdidi Prediction & H2H Stats

Georgia Georgia

Pirveli Liga 2006/2007
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gagra in this Pirveli Liga 2006/2007 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gagra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Gagra
20%
Draws
44%
Mglebi Zugdidi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mglebi Zugdidi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gagra lately — more wins on the board than Mglebi Zugdidi.
  • 36% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Pirveli Liga 2006/2007 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Gagra Clean Sheet 20%
Mglebi Zugdidi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gagra Mglebi Zugdidi
Matches Played 39 32
Wins 15 12
Draws 14 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2009 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Gagra vs Mglebi Zugdidi
2:2
Dec 6, 2008 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Mglebi Zugdidi vs Gagra
1:0
Sep 26, 2008 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Gagra vs Mglebi Zugdidi
2:0
May 23, 2007 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Gagra vs Mglebi Zugdidi
2:1
Nov 27, 2006 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Mglebi Zugdidi vs Gagra
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gagra 31 / 100
Mglebi Zugdidi 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gagra Mglebi Zugdidi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gagra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gagra scored in 74% of their last 39 games.

Defensive concern: Mglebi Zugdidi conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Gagra stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gagra VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gagra

(Home)
19 Sept
Gagra
1 : 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli
14 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi
4 : 0
Gagra
10 Sept
Gagra
1 : 1
Torpedo Kutaisi
05 Sept
Dila Gori
1 : 0
Gagra
31 Aug
Gagra
2 : 0
Iberia 1999
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Mglebi Zugdidi

(Away)
23 May
WIT Georgia
4 : 0
Mglebi Zugdidi
17 May
Mglebi Zugdidi
1 : 0
Dinamo Tbilisi
02 May
Mglebi Zugdidi
4 : 1
Meskheti
25 Apr
FC Zestaponi
3 : 1
Mglebi Zugdidi
18 Apr
Mglebi Zugdidi
1 : 2
Metalurgi Rustavi
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