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Gainare Tottori vs FC Osaka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J3 League Axis Bird Stadium, Tottori
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Akiyama T.
39' Event
Kawamura T.
Assist: Yajima S.
46'
Sub
Nose R. In: Kubo R.
Out: Nose R.

AI Match Summary

The J3 League game between Gainare Tottori and FC Osaka finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Gainare Tottori
15%
Draws
46%
FC Osaka
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Osaka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Gainare Tottori carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Gainare Tottori Clean Sheet 11%
FC Osaka Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gainare Tottori FC Osaka
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 16 10
Draws 1 5
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.67 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 J3 League
Gainare Tottori vs FC Osaka
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 J3 League
Gainare Tottori vs FC Osaka
1:2
Mar 8, 2025 J3 League
FC Osaka vs Gainare Tottori
1:0
Aug 24, 2024 J3 League
Gainare Tottori vs FC Osaka
2:1
Jun 15, 2024 J3 League
FC Osaka vs Gainare Tottori
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gainare Tottori Compare

Top Goalscorer Kawamura T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

FC Osaka Compare

Top Goalscorer Minakuchi Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gainare Tottori 35 / 100
FC Osaka 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gainare Tottori FC Osaka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Osaka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Osaka let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Gainare Tottori's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Gainare Tottori has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gainare Tottori VS FC Osaka
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gainare Tottori

(Home)
07 Oct
Gainare Tottori
0 : 1
Verdy
03 Oct
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 1
Gainare Tottori
29 Sept
Gainare Tottori
2 : 0
V-Varen Nagasaki
26 Sept
Kanazawa
4 : 1
Gainare Tottori
19 Sept
Gainare Tottori
2 : 3
Nara Club
Page 1 of 6

FC Osaka

(Away)
09 Oct
FC Osaka
1 : 1
Kanazawa
03 Oct
SC Sagamihara
1 : 0
FC Osaka
29 Sept
FC Osaka
1 : 2
Avispa Fukuoka
26 Sept
Kochi United
0 : 4
FC Osaka
18 Sept
FC Osaka
4 : 1
Fukushima United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kagoshima United 9 7 2 0 19:10 23
2 Ehime 9 6 2 1 22:10 20
3 Nara Club 10 6 2 2 21:16 20
4 SC Sagamihara 10 5 3 2 18:12 18
5 FC Osaka 10 4 5 1 18:9 17
6 Renofa Yamaguchi 9 5 2 2 13:7 17
7 Kanazawa 10 4 2 4 17:14 14
8 Kumamoto 9 3 5 1 7:4 14
9 Reilac Shiga 10 4 2 4 16:16 14
10 Nagano Parceiro 10 4 2 4 14:14 14
11 Gifu 9 4 1 4 19:10 13
12 Gainare Tottori 9 4 1 4 12:18 13
13 Ryukyu 10 3 2 5 11:14 11
14 Tochigi SC 9 2 4 3 11:14 10
15 Giravanz Kitakyushu 10 2 4 4 12:18 10
16 Thespakusatsu Gunma 10 3 0 7 10:19 9
17 Matsumoto Yamaga 9 1 5 3 8:11 8
18 Fukushima United 10 2 2 6 20:25 8
19 Kamatamare Sanuki 10 1 2 7 12:20 5
20 Kochi United 10 1 2 7 4:23 5
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)