Sport Picks
Gainare Tottori vs Omiya Ardija - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J.League Cup Axis Bird Stadium, Tottori 
Match Events
2'
2'
Fujita I.
Assist: Oshima H.
45'
45'
Yamamoto S.
Assist: Lorenz M.
56'
56'
Sub
Mueanta S. In: Matsui T.
Out: Mueanta S.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
20%
46%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Omiya Ardija
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Gainare Tottori have won more games recently than Omiya Ardija.
- 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Gainare Tottori have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Omiya Ardija, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Omiya Ardija have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Gainare Tottori Clean Sheet 14%
Omiya Ardija Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gainare Tottori | Omiya Ardija |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 13 |
| Draws | 1 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 2, 2026 J.League Cup
Gainare Tottori vs Omiya Ardija
3:1
Nov 2, 2024 J3 League
Omiya Ardija vs Gainare Tottori
5:4
May 3, 2024 J3 League
Gainare Tottori vs Omiya Ardija
0:3
Sep 7, 2016 Emperors Cup
Omiya Ardija vs Gainare Tottori
1:0
Nov 25, 2000 Emperors Cup
Gainare Tottori vs Omiya Ardija
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gainare Tottori Compare
Top Goalscorer Fujita I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Yamamoto S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Omiya Ardija Compare
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gainare Tottori 35 / 100
Omiya Ardija 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gainare Tottori Omiya Ardija
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Omiya Ardija Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Gainare Tottori scored in 74% of their last 27 games.
Omiya Ardija let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Gainare Tottori has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Gainare Tottori VS Omiya Ardija
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Gainare Tottori
(Home) 07 Oct
Gainare Tottori
0 : 1 Verdy
03 Oct
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 1 Gainare Tottori
29 Sept
Gainare Tottori
2 : 0 V-Varen Nagasaki
26 Sept
Kanazawa
4 : 1 Gainare Tottori
19 Sept
Gainare Tottori
2 : 3 Nara Club
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Gainare Tottori
0 : 1 Verdy
29 Sept
Gainare Tottori
2 : 0 V-Varen Nagasaki
19 Sept
Gainare Tottori
2 : 3 Nara Club
05 Sept
Gainare Tottori
0 : 3 Renofa Yamaguchi
02 Sept
Gainare Tottori
3 : 1 Omiya Ardija
Page 1 of 3
Omiya Ardija
(Away) 10 Oct
Omiya Ardija
3 : 1 Vanraure
07 Oct
Urawa Reds
3 : 2 Omiya Ardija
04 Oct
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1 : 1 Omiya Ardija
26 Sept
Omiya Ardija
5 : 1 Kofu
19 Sept
Fujieda MYFC
1 : 1 Omiya Ardija
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Urawa Reds
3 : 2 Omiya Ardija
04 Oct
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1 : 1 Omiya Ardija
19 Sept
Fujieda MYFC
1 : 1 Omiya Ardija
06 Sept
Blaublitz
0 : 0 Omiya Ardija
02 Sept
Gainare Tottori
3 : 1 Omiya Ardija
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2
Tochigi City 0
Matsumoto Yamaga 1
Albirex Niigata 0
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
Kanazawa 0
Yokohama F. Marinos 2
Montedio Yamagata 1
Urawa Reds 3
Toyama 2
Yokohama FC 2
Gifu 1
Okayama 2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Nagoya Grampus 3
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Kawasaki Frontale 1
Kumamoto 0
Chiba 2
Iwata 4
Avispa Fukuoka 2
FC Osaka 1
Verdy 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Cerezo Osaka 2
Fujieda MYFC 1
V-Varen Nagasaki 0
Gainare Tottori 2
FC Tokyo 2
Ehime 0
Mito 7
Fukushima United 0
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
1/16-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
Matsumoto Yamaga -
Shimizu S-Pulse -
Yokohama F. Marinos -
Urawa Reds -
Yokohama FC -
Okayama -
Nagoya Grampus -
Kawasaki Frontale -
Iwata -
Avispa Fukuoka -
Sagan Tosu -
Cerezo Osaka -
Gainare Tottori -
FC Tokyo -
Mito -
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Machida Zelvia 1
Kyoto 0
Kashiwa Reysol 5
Gamba Osaka 4
1/64-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
TBD -
Vanraure 0
Tochigi City 2
Matsumoto Yamaga 4
Shonan Bellmare 3
Thespakusatsu Gunma 1
Albirex Niigata 2
Shimizu S-Pulse -
TBD -
Kanazawa 2
Imabari 1
Yokohama F. Marinos -
TBD -
Tochigi SC 0
Montedio Yamagata 1
Urawa Reds -
TBD -
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1
Toyama 2
Ryukyu 2
Yokohama FC 3
Gifu 1
Tokushima 0
Okayama -
TBD -
Kagoshima United 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Nagoya Grampus -
TBD -
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Iwaki 0
Kawasaki Frontale -
TBD -
Kumamoto 2
Oita Trinita 0
Kamatamare Sanuki 0
Chiba 2
SC Sagamihara 0
Iwata 3
Avispa Fukuoka -
TBD -
FC Osaka 3
Kofu 0
Reilac Shiga 0
Verdy 1
Nara Club 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Cerezo Osaka -
TBD -
Renofa Yamaguchi 0
Fujieda MYFC 2
Kochi United 0
V-Varen Nagasaki 1
Gainare Tottori 3
Omiya Ardija 1
FC Tokyo -
TBD -
Ehime 1
Blaublitz 0
Nagano Parceiro 0
Mito 1
Fukushima United 4
Vegalta Sendai 3
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
