Sport Picks
Gainare Tottori vs Renofa Yamaguchi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J3 League Axis Bird Stadium, Tottori 
Match Events
32'
32'
Yamamoto S.
Assist: Watanabe S.
45'
45'
Watanabe S.
46'
46'
Sub
Konishi H. In: Yamamoto S.
Out: Konishi H.
AI Match Summary
The J3 League game between Gainare Tottori and Renofa Yamaguchi finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Renofa Yamaguchi.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
15%
58%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Renofa Yamaguchi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Renofa Yamaguchi haven't matched Gainare Tottori's recent run of results.
- Renofa Yamaguchi are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Gainare Tottori Clean Sheet 15%
Renofa Yamaguchi Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gainare Tottori | Renofa Yamaguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 15 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.64 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.54 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 J3 League
Gainare Tottori vs Renofa Yamaguchi
0:3
May 2, 2026 J2/J3 League
Gainare Tottori vs Renofa Yamaguchi
4:1
Mar 1, 2026 J2/J3 League
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Gainare Tottori
0:1
Jan 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Gainare Tottori
2:3
Nov 23, 2015 J3 League
Gainare Tottori vs Renofa Yamaguchi
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gainare Tottori Compare
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Renofa Yamaguchi Compare
Top Goalscorer Yamamoto S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Watanabe S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gainare Tottori 23 / 100
Renofa Yamaguchi 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gainare Tottori Renofa Yamaguchi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Renofa Yamaguchi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Gainare Tottori's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Defensive concern: Renofa Yamaguchi conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
Recent resilience: Gainare Tottori stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Gainare Tottori VS Renofa Yamaguchi
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Gainare Tottori
(Home) 07 Oct
Gainare Tottori
0 : 1 Verdy
03 Oct
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 1 Gainare Tottori
29 Sept
Gainare Tottori
2 : 0 V-Varen Nagasaki
26 Sept
Kanazawa
4 : 1 Gainare Tottori
19 Sept
Gainare Tottori
2 : 3 Nara Club
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Gainare Tottori
0 : 1 Verdy
29 Sept
Gainare Tottori
2 : 0 V-Varen Nagasaki
19 Sept
Gainare Tottori
2 : 3 Nara Club
05 Sept
Gainare Tottori
0 : 3 Renofa Yamaguchi
02 Sept
Gainare Tottori
3 : 1 Omiya Ardija
Page 1 of 3
Renofa Yamaguchi
(Away) 03 Oct
Gifu
0 : 2 Renofa Yamaguchi
26 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 2 SC Sagamihara
20 Sept
Kanazawa
1 : 2 Renofa Yamaguchi
12 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 0 Thespakusatsu Gunma
05 Sept
Gainare Tottori
0 : 3 Renofa Yamaguchi
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Gifu
0 : 2 Renofa Yamaguchi
20 Sept
Kanazawa
1 : 2 Renofa Yamaguchi
05 Sept
Gainare Tottori
0 : 3 Renofa Yamaguchi
22 Aug
Nara Club
3 : 1 Renofa Yamaguchi
19 Aug
Kagoshima United
2 : 1 Renofa Yamaguchi
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 19:10 | 23 |
| 2 | Ehime | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22:10 | 20 |
| 3 | Nara Club | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 4 | SC Sagamihara | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:12 | 18 |
| 5 | FC Osaka | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 18:9 | 17 |
| 6 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 7 | Kanazawa | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:14 | 14 |
| 8 | Kumamoto | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 7:4 | 14 |
| 9 | Reilac Shiga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 14 |
| 10 | Nagano Parceiro | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:14 | 14 |
| 11 | Gifu | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 19:10 | 13 |
| 12 | Gainare Tottori | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:18 | 13 |
| 13 | Ryukyu | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:14 | 11 |
| 14 | Tochigi SC | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 15 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12:18 | 10 |
| 16 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 17 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 18 | Fukushima United | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 20:25 | 8 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12:20 | 5 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4:23 | 5 |
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)
