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Gainare Tottori vs SC Sagamihara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J3 League Axis Bird Stadium, Tottori
Our Tip

Match Events

62'
Sub
Maeda T. In: Sasaki K.
Out: Maeda T.
71'
Sub
Hombo K. In: Fujita I.
Out: Hombo K.
71'
Sub
Hoshi K. In: Yoshida I.
Out: Hoshi K.

AI Match Summary

The J3 League game between Gainare Tottori and SC Sagamihara finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC Sagamihara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Gainare Tottori
30%
Draws
58%
SC Sagamihara
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SC Sagamihara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Gainare Tottori have managed 1.53 goals a game lately — SC Sagamihara are scoring more at 1.72.
  • Win probability leans SC Sagamihara's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors SC Sagamihara here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Gainare Tottori Clean Sheet 14%
SC Sagamihara Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gainare Tottori SC Sagamihara
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 16 16
Draws 3 4
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.53 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2026 J3 League
Gainare Tottori vs SC Sagamihara
0:1
Oct 12, 2025 J3 League
Gainare Tottori vs SC Sagamihara
2:1
May 6, 2025 J3 League
SC Sagamihara vs Gainare Tottori
1:0
Nov 24, 2024 J3 League
SC Sagamihara vs Gainare Tottori
1:0
May 19, 2024 J3 League
Gainare Tottori vs SC Sagamihara
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gainare Tottori Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

SC Sagamihara Compare

Top Goalscorer Handai M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gainare Tottori 10 / 100
SC Sagamihara 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gainare Tottori SC Sagamihara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Sagamihara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gainare Tottori scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: SC Sagamihara conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Gainare Tottori stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gainare Tottori VS SC Sagamihara
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gainare Tottori

(Home)
03 Nov
Gainare Tottori
0 : 1
SC Sagamihara
31 Oct
Ryukyu
5 : 2
Gainare Tottori
25 Oct
Gainare Tottori
0 : 0
Kochi United
21 Oct
Kumamoto
3 : 0
Gainare Tottori
17 Oct
Gainare Tottori
1 : 1
Thespakusatsu Gunma
Page 1 of 7

SC Sagamihara

(Away)
03 Nov
Gainare Tottori
0 : 1
SC Sagamihara
31 Oct
Kochi United
1 : 3
SC Sagamihara
24 Oct
SC Sagamihara
0 : 0
Tochigi SC
21 Oct
Gifu
2 : 1
SC Sagamihara
18 Oct
Reilac Shiga
0 : 2
SC Sagamihara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kagoshima United 15 9 4 2 29:18 31
2 Nara Club 15 9 2 4 28:21 29
3 Gifu 15 9 1 5 28:15 28
4 SC Sagamihara 15 8 4 3 25:15 28
5 Renofa Yamaguchi 15 8 3 4 20:12 27
6 FC Osaka 15 7 5 3 25:15 26
7 Ehime 15 8 2 5 30:25 26
8 Kumamoto 15 6 6 3 17:10 24
9 Ryukyu 15 7 2 6 23:20 23
10 Nagano Parceiro 15 7 2 6 22:20 23
11 Kanazawa 15 6 2 7 27:21 20
12 Giravanz Kitakyushu 15 5 4 6 21:23 19
13 Tochigi SC 15 4 6 5 14:16 18
14 Matsumoto Yamaga 15 4 5 6 15:17 17
15 Reilac Shiga 15 5 2 8 19:27 17
16 Fukushima United 15 4 3 8 27:32 15
17 Gainare Tottori 15 4 3 8 15:29 15
18 Thespakusatsu Gunma 15 4 1 10 12:29 13
19 Kamatamare Sanuki 15 3 2 10 16:27 11
20 Kochi United 15 2 3 10 10:31 9
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
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