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Gainare Tottori vs Thespakusatsu Gunma - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J3 League Axis Bird Stadium, Tottori
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gainare Tottori host Thespakusatsu Gunma in the J3 League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Gainare Tottori have averaged 1.55 scored and 1.42 conceded recently, against Thespakusatsu Gunma's 1.33 scored and 2.2 conceded. Head-to-head, Gainare Tottori have won 2 to Thespakusatsu Gunma's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 20, 2025, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.63 - 1.19) back Gainare Tottori to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Gainare Tottori
15%
Draws
28%
Thespakusatsu Gunma
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gainare Tottori

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gainare Tottori lately — more wins on the board than Thespakusatsu Gunma.
  • Model gives Gainare Tottori a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Gainare Tottori Clean Sheet 20%
Thespakusatsu Gunma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gainare Tottori Thespakusatsu Gunma
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 10
Draws 1 0
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 1.55 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.42 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2025 J3 League
Gainare Tottori vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
3:1
Mar 16, 2025 J3 League
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Gainare Tottori
2:0
Oct 20, 2019 J3 League
Gainare Tottori vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
1:0
Jun 9, 2019 J3 League
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Gainare Tottori
5:0
Nov 11, 2018 J3 League
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Gainare Tottori
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gainare Tottori 76 / 100
Thespakusatsu Gunma 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gainare Tottori Thespakusatsu Gunma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gainare Tottori Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thespakusatsu Gunma has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Gainare Tottori scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Difficult form: Thespakusatsu Gunma registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gainare Tottori VS Thespakusatsu Gunma
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gainare Tottori

(Home)
07 Oct
Gainare Tottori
0 : 1
Verdy
03 Oct
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 1
Gainare Tottori
29 Sept
Gainare Tottori
2 : 0
V-Varen Nagasaki
26 Sept
Kanazawa
4 : 1
Gainare Tottori
19 Sept
Gainare Tottori
2 : 3
Nara Club
Page 1 of 7

Thespakusatsu Gunma

(Away)
03 Oct
Ehime
3 : 1
Thespakusatsu Gunma
26 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0 : 1
Kumamoto
19 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 0
Kochi United
12 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 0
Thespakusatsu Gunma
05 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 3
Fukushima United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kagoshima United 9 7 2 0 19:10 23
2 Ehime 9 6 2 1 22:10 20
3 Nara Club 10 6 2 2 21:16 20
4 SC Sagamihara 10 5 3 2 18:12 18
5 FC Osaka 10 4 5 1 18:9 17
6 Renofa Yamaguchi 9 5 2 2 13:7 17
7 Kanazawa 10 4 2 4 17:14 14
8 Kumamoto 9 3 5 1 7:4 14
9 Reilac Shiga 10 4 2 4 16:16 14
10 Nagano Parceiro 10 4 2 4 14:14 14
11 Gifu 9 4 1 4 19:10 13
12 Gainare Tottori 9 4 1 4 12:18 13
13 Ryukyu 10 3 2 5 11:14 11
14 Tochigi SC 9 2 4 3 11:14 10
15 Giravanz Kitakyushu 10 2 4 4 12:18 10
16 Thespakusatsu Gunma 10 3 0 7 10:19 9
17 Matsumoto Yamaga 9 1 5 3 8:11 8
18 Fukushima United 10 2 2 6 20:25 8
19 Kamatamare Sanuki 10 1 2 7 12:20 5
20 Kochi United 10 1 2 7 4:23 5
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)