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Gainare Tottori vs Tochigi SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J3 League Axis Bird Stadium, Tottori
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gainare Tottori host Tochigi SC in the J3 League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Gainare Tottori at 1.58 goals for, 1.65 against; Tochigi SC at 1.03 for, 1.21 against. Head-to-head, Gainare Tottori have won 1 to Tochigi SC's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Nov 23, 2025, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 0.69 vs 1.06, favoring Gainare Tottori. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Gainare Tottori
35%
Draws
52%
Tochigi SC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tochigi SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Gainare Tottori carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Tochigi SC are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Gainare Tottori Clean Sheet 20%
Tochigi SC Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gainare Tottori Tochigi SC
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 16 8
Draws 3 7
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.58 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2025 J3 League
Tochigi SC vs Gainare Tottori
2:1
Jun 21, 2025 J3 League
Gainare Tottori vs Tochigi SC
2:1
Nov 19, 2017 J3 League
Tochigi SC vs Gainare Tottori
1:1
Mar 19, 2017 J3 League
Gainare Tottori vs Tochigi SC
1:1
Nov 5, 2016 J3 League
Gainare Tottori vs Tochigi SC
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gainare Tottori 12 / 100
Tochigi SC 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gainare Tottori Tochigi SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tochigi SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gainare Tottori scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Tochigi SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Gainare Tottori went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gainare Tottori VS Tochigi SC
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gainare Tottori

(Home)
03 Nov
Gainare Tottori
0 : 1
SC Sagamihara
31 Oct
Ryukyu
5 : 2
Gainare Tottori
25 Oct
Gainare Tottori
0 : 0
Kochi United
21 Oct
Kumamoto
3 : 0
Gainare Tottori
17 Oct
Gainare Tottori
1 : 1
Thespakusatsu Gunma
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Tochigi SC

(Away)
03 Nov
Tochigi SC
0 : 0
Fukushima United
31 Oct
Tochigi SC
2 : 0
Ehime
24 Oct
SC Sagamihara
0 : 0
Tochigi SC
21 Oct
Tochigi SC
1 : 0
Reilac Shiga
17 Oct
Ryukyu
1 : 0
Tochigi SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kagoshima United 15 9 4 2 29:18 31
2 Nara Club 15 9 2 4 28:21 29
3 Gifu 15 9 1 5 28:15 28
4 SC Sagamihara 15 8 4 3 25:15 28
5 Renofa Yamaguchi 15 8 3 4 20:12 27
6 FC Osaka 15 7 5 3 25:15 26
7 Ehime 15 8 2 5 30:25 26
8 Kumamoto 15 6 6 3 17:10 24
9 Ryukyu 15 7 2 6 23:20 23
10 Nagano Parceiro 15 7 2 6 22:20 23
11 Kanazawa 15 6 2 7 27:21 20
12 Giravanz Kitakyushu 15 5 4 6 21:23 19
13 Tochigi SC 15 4 6 5 14:16 18
14 Matsumoto Yamaga 15 4 5 6 15:17 17
15 Reilac Shiga 15 5 2 8 19:27 17
16 Fukushima United 15 4 3 8 27:32 15
17 Gainare Tottori 15 4 3 8 15:29 15
18 Thespakusatsu Gunma 15 4 1 10 12:29 13
19 Kamatamare Sanuki 15 3 2 10 16:27 11
20 Kochi United 15 2 3 10 10:31 9
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)