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Gainare Tottori vs V-Varen Nagasaki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J.League Cup Axis Bird Stadium, Tottori
Gainare Tottori Logo

Gainare Tottori

2 - 0
FT
V-Varen Nagasaki Logo

V-Varen Nagasaki

Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Yamaguchi H.
38'
Moon M.
53' Event
Shinoda D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Gainare Tottori
15%
Draws
46%
V-Varen Nagasaki
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: V-Varen Nagasaki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gainare Tottori come out ahead of V-Varen Nagasaki on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Gainare Tottori have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor V-Varen Nagasaki, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors V-Varen Nagasaki here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Gainare Tottori Clean Sheet 20%
V-Varen Nagasaki Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gainare Tottori V-Varen Nagasaki
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 16 10
Draws 1 2
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.67 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2026 J.League Cup
Gainare Tottori vs V-Varen Nagasaki
2:0
Aug 25, 2013 J2 League
Gainare Tottori vs V-Varen Nagasaki
0:3
Mar 31, 2013 J2 League
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Gainare Tottori
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gainare Tottori Compare

Top Goalscorer Shinoda D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yamamoto S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

V-Varen Nagasaki Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gainare Tottori 31 / 100
V-Varen Nagasaki 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gainare Tottori V-Varen Nagasaki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gainare Tottori Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: V-Varen Nagasaki conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Gainare Tottori found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Gainare Tottori remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gainare Tottori VS V-Varen Nagasaki
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gainare Tottori

(Home)
07 Oct
Gainare Tottori
0 : 1
Verdy
03 Oct
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 1
Gainare Tottori
29 Sept
Gainare Tottori
2 : 0
V-Varen Nagasaki
26 Sept
Kanazawa
4 : 1
Gainare Tottori
19 Sept
Gainare Tottori
2 : 3
Nara Club
Page 1 of 6

V-Varen Nagasaki

(Away)
07 Oct
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 : 1
V-Varen Nagasaki
29 Sept
Gainare Tottori
2 : 0
V-Varen Nagasaki
19 Sept
V-Varen Nagasaki
1 : 1
Cerezo Osaka
12 Sept
V-Varen Nagasaki
2 : 0
Nagoya Grampus
09 Sept
Kochi United
0 : 1
V-Varen Nagasaki
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2
Tochigi City 0
Matsumoto Yamaga 1
Albirex Niigata 0
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
Kanazawa 0
Yokohama F. Marinos 2
Montedio Yamagata 1
Urawa Reds 3
Toyama 2
Yokohama FC 2
Gifu 1
Okayama 2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Nagoya Grampus 3
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Kawasaki Frontale 1
Kumamoto 0
Chiba 2
Iwata 4
Avispa Fukuoka 2
FC Osaka 1
Verdy 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Cerezo Osaka 2
Fujieda MYFC 1
V-Varen Nagasaki 0
Gainare Tottori 2
FC Tokyo 2
Ehime 0
Mito 7
Fukushima United 0
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
1/16-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
Matsumoto Yamaga -
Shimizu S-Pulse -
Yokohama F. Marinos -
Urawa Reds -
Yokohama FC -
Okayama -
Nagoya Grampus -
Kawasaki Frontale -
Iwata -
Avispa Fukuoka -
Sagan Tosu -
Cerezo Osaka -
Gainare Tottori -
FC Tokyo -
Mito -
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Machida Zelvia 1
Kyoto 0
Kashiwa Reysol 5
Gamba Osaka 4
1/64-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
TBD -
Vanraure 0
Tochigi City 2
Matsumoto Yamaga 4
Shonan Bellmare 3
Thespakusatsu Gunma 1
Albirex Niigata 2
Shimizu S-Pulse -
TBD -
Kanazawa 2
Imabari 1
Yokohama F. Marinos -
TBD -
Tochigi SC 0
Montedio Yamagata 1
Urawa Reds -
TBD -
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1
Toyama 2
Ryukyu 2
Yokohama FC 3
Gifu 1
Tokushima 0
Okayama -
TBD -
Kagoshima United 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Nagoya Grampus -
TBD -
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Iwaki 0
Kawasaki Frontale -
TBD -
Kumamoto 2
Oita Trinita 0
Kamatamare Sanuki 0
Chiba 2
SC Sagamihara 0
Iwata 3
Avispa Fukuoka -
TBD -
FC Osaka 3
Kofu 0
Reilac Shiga 0
Verdy 1
Nara Club 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Cerezo Osaka -
TBD -
Renofa Yamaguchi 0
Fujieda MYFC 2
Kochi United 0
V-Varen Nagasaki 1
Gainare Tottori 3
Omiya Ardija 1
FC Tokyo -
TBD -
Ehime 1
Blaublitz 0
Nagano Parceiro 0
Mito 1
Fukushima United 4
Vegalta Sendai 3
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -