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Gainsborough vs Cleethorpes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

NPL Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Walker J.
67' Event
Walker J.
73' Event
Fewster B.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Premier Division game between Gainsborough and Cleethorpes finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cleethorpes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Gainsborough
15%
Draws
40%
Cleethorpes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gainsborough

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cleethorpes come out ahead of Gainsborough on wins alone.
  • Model gives Gainsborough a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Gainsborough Clean Sheet 68%
Cleethorpes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gainsborough Cleethorpes
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 15
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.79 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.59 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Gainsborough vs Cleethorpes
0:3
Jan 1, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Gainsborough vs Cleethorpes
2:0
Aug 25, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Cleethorpes vs Gainsborough
0:1
Sep 5, 2020 Club Friendly
Cleethorpes vs Gainsborough
5:0
Aug 10, 2019 Club Friendly
Gainsborough vs Cleethorpes
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gainsborough Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Cleethorpes Compare

Top Goalscorer Walker J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fewster B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gainsborough 50 / 100
Cleethorpes 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gainsborough Cleethorpes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gainsborough Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gainsborough's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Gainsborough went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Cleethorpes has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gainsborough VS Cleethorpes
2.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gainsborough

(Home)
31 Oct
Gainsborough
1 : 1
Bamber Bridge
27 Oct
Gainsborough
0 : 3
Curzon Ashton
24 Oct
Warrington Town
1 : 2
Gainsborough
17 Oct
Gainsborough
4 : 0
Hyde
13 Oct
Gainsborough
3 : 1
Ilkeston
Page 1 of 6

Cleethorpes

(Away)
31 Oct
Cleethorpes
1 : 0
Avro
27 Oct
Workington
3 : 2
Cleethorpes
20 Oct
Guiseley
2 : 1
Cleethorpes
10 Oct
Cleethorpes
3 : 0
Warrington Rylands
06 Oct
Cleethorpes
1 : 0
Hyde
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Redcar Athletic 16 10 5 1 35:15 35
2 Cleethorpes 15 10 3 2 32:9 33
3 Guiseley 15 10 2 3 33:15 32
4 Curzon Ashton 16 10 1 5 30:18 31
5 Gainsborough 16 9 2 5 32:21 29
6 Avro 16 9 2 5 39:30 29
7 Workington 16 8 3 5 28:26 27
8 Warrington Rylands 15 8 2 5 27:22 26
9 Warrington Town 16 7 5 4 28:24 26
10 Bury FC 14 7 2 5 30:18 23
11 Alfreton 16 7 2 7 23:18 23
12 Lancaster 17 6 3 8 20:29 21
13 AFC Emley 17 5 5 7 19:28 20
14 Whitby 16 6 1 9 22:42 19
15 Quorn 15 4 6 5 27:32 18
16 Stockton 16 4 3 9 23:28 15
17 Hyde 16 4 3 9 15:30 15
18 Ashton United 16 3 5 8 18:21 14
19 Leek Town 16 3 5 8 31:37 14
20 Ilkeston 16 4 1 11 11:34 13
21 United of Manchester 16 2 6 8 20:27 12
22 Bamber Bridge 16 2 5 9 18:37 11
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