Sport Picks
Match Events
63'
63'
Walker J.
67'
67'
Walker J.
73'
73'
Fewster B.
AI Match Summary
The NPL Premier Division game between Gainsborough and Cleethorpes finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cleethorpes.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cleethorpes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Cleethorpes come out ahead of Gainsborough on wins alone.
- Model gives Cleethorpes a 48% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Gainsborough Clean Sheet 10%
Cleethorpes Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gainsborough | Cleethorpes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 31, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Gainsborough vs Cleethorpes
0:3
Jan 1, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Gainsborough vs Cleethorpes
2:0
Aug 25, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Cleethorpes vs Gainsborough
0:1
Sep 5, 2020 Club Friendly
Cleethorpes vs Gainsborough
5:0
Aug 10, 2019 Club Friendly
Gainsborough vs Cleethorpes
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gainsborough Compare
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Cleethorpes Compare
Top Goalscorer Walker J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Fewster B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gainsborough 10 / 100
Cleethorpes 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gainsborough Cleethorpes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cleethorpes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gainsborough's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Gainsborough went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Cleethorpes has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.
Scoring Trends
Gainsborough VS Cleethorpes
1.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Gainsborough
(Home) 19 Sept
Leamington
1 : 1 Gainsborough
12 Sept
Gainsborough
0 : 2 Avro
05 Sept
Sherwood Colliery
2 : 4 Gainsborough
31 Aug
Gainsborough
0 : 3 Cleethorpes
28 Aug
Ashton United
1 : 2 Gainsborough
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Gainsborough
0 : 2 Avro
31 Aug
Gainsborough
0 : 3 Cleethorpes
22 Aug
Gainsborough
0 : 1 Bury FC
18 Aug
Gainsborough
4 : 1 Stockton
08 Aug
Gainsborough
2 : 0 Workington
Page 1 of 3
Cleethorpes
(Away) 12 Sept
Ashton United
0 : 1 Cleethorpes
05 Sept
Cleethorpes
1 : 2 Newcastle Town
31 Aug
Gainsborough
0 : 3 Cleethorpes
28 Aug
Cleethorpes
1 : 3 Curzon Ashton
25 Aug
Cleethorpes
6 : 0 Whitby
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Ashton United
0 : 1 Cleethorpes
31 Aug
Gainsborough
0 : 3 Cleethorpes
22 Aug
Ilkeston
0 : 3 Cleethorpes
15 Aug
Warrington Town
1 : 1 Cleethorpes
11 Aug
Quorn
0 : 5 Cleethorpes
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cleethorpes | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 24:5 | 22 |
| 2 | Avro | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 28:16 | 22 |
| 3 | Redcar Athletic | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 18:6 | 21 |
| 4 | Guiseley | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22:10 | 19 |
| 5 | Warrington Town | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:14 | 17 |
| 6 | Bury FC | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:8 | 16 |
| 7 | Curzon Ashton | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 8 | Workington | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:15 | 16 |
| 9 | Gainsborough | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:12 | 13 |
| 10 | Warrington Rylands | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:13 | 13 |
| 11 | Alfreton | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15:10 | 12 |
| 12 | Whitby | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 14:24 | 12 |
| 13 | Ashton United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:9 | 11 |
| 14 | Hyde | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:17 | 11 |
| 15 | AFC Emley | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:15 | 10 |
| 16 | Lancaster | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:17 | 10 |
| 17 | Bamber Bridge | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14:27 | 9 |
| 18 | Stockton | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13:20 | 8 |
| 19 | Ilkeston | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6:21 | 7 |
| 20 | Leek Town | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 17:19 | 6 |
| 21 | Quorn | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12:23 | 6 |
| 22 | United of Manchester | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 5 |
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