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GAIS vs Kalmar

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Gamla Ullevi, Göteborg
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Salter S.
Assist: Milovanovic W.
13'
Salter S.
30'
Saetra L.

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan game between GAIS and Kalmar finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward GAIS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
GAIS
33%
Draws
40%
Kalmar
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Kalmar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • GAIS carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Kalmar are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
GAIS Clean Sheet 20%
Kalmar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GAIS Kalmar
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Allsvenskan
GAIS vs Kalmar
3:0
Aug 31, 2024 Allsvenskan
GAIS vs Kalmar
1:1
Apr 25, 2024 Allsvenskan
Kalmar vs GAIS
2:3
Sep 2, 2012 Allsvenskan
GAIS vs Kalmar
1:2
May 4, 2012 Allsvenskan
Kalmar vs GAIS
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

GAIS Compare

Top Goalscorer Salter S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cardaklija A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Kalmar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GAIS 28 / 100
Kalmar 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GAIS Kalmar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GAIS scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Kalmar has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

GAIS has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

GAIS VS Kalmar
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

GAIS

(Home)
23 Jul
GAIS
1 : 0
Nordsjaelland
18 Jul
AIK
2 : 0
GAIS
12 Jul
GAIS
1 : 0
Elfsborg
06 Jul
Brommapojkarna
1 : 1
GAIS
27 Jun
Valerenga
1 : 2
GAIS
Page 1 of 6

Kalmar

(Away)
20 Jul
Kalmar
2 : 2
Malmo FF
12 Jul
Hammarby
2 : 0
Kalmar
05 Jul
Kalmar
3 : 0
Orgryte
27 Jun
Kalmar
2 : 0
Brommapojkarna
22 Jun
AIK
0 : 2
Kalmar
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sirius13112036:1635
2Hammarby1482432:1426
3Hacken1365227:2223
4AIK1363418:1821
5Djurgarden1262426:1520
6Malmo FF1362527:2220
7GAIS1454518:1419
8Vasteras SK1354422:2319
9Elfsborg1446418:1718
10Mjallby1345419:1717
11Brommapojkarna1344518:2116
12Kalmar1342716:1914
13IFK Goteborg1334616:2913
14Degerfors1324712:2310
15Orgryte1324714:3110
16Halmstad1313910:286
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)