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GAIS vs Sirius Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Gamla Ullevi, Göteborg
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

GAIS host Sirius in the Allsvenskan. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: GAIS at 1.48 goals for, 1.1 against; Sirius at 2.37 for, 1.2 against. Head-to-head, GAIS have won 2 to Sirius's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on May 24, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.56 - 1.50) back Sirius to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
GAIS
15%
Draws
46%
Sirius
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sirius

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Sirius have won more games recently than GAIS.
  • GAIS are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
GAIS Clean Sheet 16%
Sirius Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GAIS Sirius
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 21
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.48 2.37
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Allsvenskan
Sirius vs GAIS
2:1
Sep 14, 2025 Allsvenskan
Sirius vs GAIS
3:0
May 24, 2025 Allsvenskan
GAIS vs Sirius
2:1
Nov 10, 2024 Allsvenskan
GAIS vs Sirius
2:1
Jul 13, 2024 Allsvenskan
Sirius vs GAIS
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GAIS 84 / 100
Sirius 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GAIS Sirius

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAIS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: GAIS scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Sirius has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

GAIS has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

GAIS VS Sirius
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

GAIS

(Home)
20 Sept
Mjallby
0 : 3
GAIS
14 Sept
Djurgarden
2 : 0
GAIS
05 Sept
GAIS
0 : 0
Hacken
31 Aug
GAIS
4 : 0
Brommapojkarna
27 Aug
Husqvarna
0 : 7
GAIS
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Sirius

(Away)
19 Sept
Orgryte
1 : 2
Sirius
14 Sept
Sirius
2 : 0
Degerfors
05 Sept
Vasteras SK
0 : 1
Sirius
31 Aug
Sirius
0 : 1
Malmo FF
26 Aug
Friska Viljor
0 : 2
Sirius
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 22 16 3 3 52:28 51
2 Hammarby 22 13 4 5 49:20 43
3 Djurgarden 22 13 2 7 47:21 41
4 Elfsborg 22 10 7 5 31:22 37
5 Hacken 22 9 9 4 39:30 36
6 Vasteras SK 22 10 5 7 34:35 35
7 Malmo FF 22 10 3 9 37:33 33
8 AIK 22 9 6 7 31:34 33
9 IFK Goteborg 22 9 5 8 31:41 32
10 GAIS 22 8 6 8 28:20 30
11 Brommapojkarna 22 7 6 9 30:36 27
12 Mjallby 22 5 7 10 27:38 22
13 Kalmar 22 5 4 13 21:36 19
14 Degerfors 22 5 4 13 19:34 19
15 Orgryte 22 3 6 13 25:49 15
16 Halmstad 22 3 5 14 16:40 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)