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Gaitcha vs Magenta

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2024 Stade Numa-Daly Magenta, Nouméa
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Ranchain F.
Penalty Missed
35' Event
Jewine J.
(Penalty)
66' Event
Watu J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Magenta advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gaitcha
20%
Draws
40%
Magenta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Magenta come out ahead of Gaitcha on wins alone.
  • Gaitcha are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Magenta arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Magenta, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Gaitcha Clean Sheet 10%
Magenta Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gaitcha Magenta
Matches Played 6 28
Wins 2 15
Draws 1 4
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 2.33 2.39
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2024 OFC Champions League
Magenta vs Gaitcha
0:0
Feb 17, 2024 OFC Champions League
Gaitcha vs Magenta
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gaitcha Compare

Top Goalscorer Wahiobe N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Magenta Compare

Top Goalscorer Watu J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gaitcha 40 / 100
Magenta 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gaitcha Magenta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Magenta has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Gaitcha remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Gaitcha scored in 50% of their last 6 games.

Scoring Trends

Gaitcha VS Magenta
0.5 Goals Scored 3.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gaitcha

(Home)
24 Feb
Magenta
0 : 0
Gaitcha
17 Feb
Gaitcha
1 : 2
Magenta
21 Apr
Gaitcha
0 : 1
Auckland City
18 Apr
Gaitcha
8 : 1
Lupe ole Soaga
14 Apr
Gaitcha
5 : 2
Pirae
Page 1 of 2

Magenta

(Away)
15 Nov
Magenta
0 : 3
Mulhouse
23 May
Auckland City
1 : 0
Magenta
21 May
Ifira Blackbird
1 : 2
Magenta
19 May
Magenta
0 : 0
Pirae
16 May
Magenta
8 : 0
Vaivase-Tai
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Lautoka 2
Rewa 3
PNG Hekari 5
Port Moresby Strikers 0
Magenta 2
Gaitcha 1
Solomon Warriors 2
Central Coast 1
Ifira Blackbird 3
Classic 2
Wellington Olympic 3
Auckland City 4
Tefana 2
Pirae 3