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Stadium Background

Gaj Mace vs Karlovac

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Gaj Mace Logo

Gaj Mace

1 - 2
FT
Karlovac Logo

Karlovac

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL Center game between Gaj Mace and Karlovac finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karlovac.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Gaj Mace
15%
Draws
46%
Karlovac
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Karlovac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Gaj Mace haven't matched Karlovac's recent run of results.
  • Karlovac are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Gaj Mace Clean Sheet 20%
Karlovac Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gaj Mace Karlovac
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.33 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2024 Croatian Cup
Gaj Mace vs Karlovac
2:1
Mar 13, 2022 3. HNL Center
Gaj Mace vs Karlovac
1:2
Sep 8, 2021 3. HNL Center
Karlovac vs Gaj Mace
4:0
Apr 21, 2021 3. HNL Center
Gaj Mace vs Karlovac
2:2
Sep 26, 2020 3. HNL Center
Karlovac vs Gaj Mace
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gaj Mace 12 / 100
Karlovac 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gaj Mace Karlovac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karlovac Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gaj Mace scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Karlovac has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Gaj Mace has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Karlovac
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gaj Mace

(Home)
09 Sept
Gaj Mace
1 : 7
Varazdin
27 Aug
Spansko
0 : 1
Gaj Mace
11 Sept
Gaj Mace
1 : 2
Varazdin
27 Aug
Gaj Mace
2 : 1
Karlovac
31 Aug
Bjelovar
1 : 0
Gaj Mace
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Karlovac

(Away)
20 Sept
Karlovac
0 : 1
Dubrava Zagreb
15 Sept
Bjelovar
0 : 2
Karlovac
12 Sept
Mladost Zdralovi
1 : 0
Karlovac
06 Sept
Karlovac
3 : 1
Hrvace
02 Sept
Dugopolje
2 : 2
Karlovac
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)