Sport Picks
Match Events
12'
12'
Abdullazada R.
14'
14'
Latkovic A.
45'
45'
Dabro M.
AI Match Summary
Varazdin in this Croatian Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-7. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
30%
42%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Varazdin
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Varazdin have won more games recently than Gaj Mace.
- Varazdin are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Varazdin arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Varazdin, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Gaj Mace Clean Sheet 16%
Varazdin Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gaj Mace | Varazdin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 19 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 16 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 1.49 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 9, 2025 Croatian Cup
Gaj Mace vs Varazdin
1:7
Sep 11, 2024 Croatian Cup
Gaj Mace vs Varazdin
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Gaj Mace Compare
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46
Varazdin Compare
Top Goalscorer Abdullazada R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Latkovic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gaj Mace 10 / 100
Varazdin 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gaj Mace Varazdin
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Varazdin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gaj Mace found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).
Games between these two average 5.50 goals.
Varazdin let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.
Recent resilience: Gaj Mace stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Varazdin
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Gaj Mace
(Home) 09 Sept
Gaj Mace
1 : 7 Varazdin
27 Aug
Spansko
0 : 1 Gaj Mace
11 Sept
Gaj Mace
1 : 2 Varazdin
27 Aug
Gaj Mace
2 : 1 Karlovac
31 Aug
Bjelovar
1 : 0 Gaj Mace
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09 Sept
Gaj Mace
1 : 7 Varazdin
11 Sept
Gaj Mace
1 : 2 Varazdin
27 Aug
Gaj Mace
2 : 1 Karlovac
04 Aug
Gaj Mace
1 : 2 Zagorec Krapina
18 May
Gaj Mace
6 : 2 HASK
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Varazdin
(Away) 19 Sept
Varazdin
0 : 0 Osijek
14 Sept
HNK Gorica
2 : 2 Varazdin
09 Sept
Zagora
0 : 4 Varazdin
04 Sept
Varazdin
0 : 0 Istra 1961
29 Aug
Varazdin
2 : 0 Rudes
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14 Sept
HNK Gorica
2 : 2 Varazdin
09 Sept
Zagora
0 : 4 Varazdin
22 Aug
Din. Zagreb
3 : 1 Varazdin
09 Aug
Slaven Belupo
1 : 4 Varazdin
30 Jul
Jablonec
2 : 0 Varazdin
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Radnik Krizevci 5
Drnis 0
TBD -
Mladost Zdralovi -
Maksimir 3
Jadran Porec 2
TBD -
Rijeka -
Nehaj Senj 1
Vukovar 1991 2
TBD -
Cibalia -
NK Koprivnica 1
Pitomaca 0
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Slavonija Pozega 1
Marsonia 0
TBD -
Bijelo Brdo -
NK Radnicki Dalj 0
Granicar Kotoriba 2
TBD -
Slaven Belupo -
Jedinstvo (DM) 0
Dugo Selo 3
TBD -
Lok. Zagreb -
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 3
Moslavina 0
TBD -
Sibenik -
Spansko 0
Gaj Mace 1
TBD -
Varazdin -
Uljanik Pula 2
Bjelovar 0
TBD -
Osijek -
Belica 1
Solin 4
TBD -
Rudes -
NK Libertas Novska 2
Opatija 1
TBD -
HNK Gorica -
Bednja Beletinec 1
Karlovac 4
TBD -
Belisce -
Bedem Ivankovo 3
NK Dinamo Predavac 5
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Zemunik 2
Kurilovec 12
TBD -
Oriolik -
Neretva 6
Zadrugar Oprisavci 2
TBD -
Istra 1961 -
1/16-finals
Radnik Krizevci 0
Mladost Zdralovi 1
Maksimir 0
Rijeka 4
Vukovar 1991 0
Cibalia 1
NK Koprivnica 1
Hajduk Split 4
Slavonija Pozega 0
Bijelo Brdo 2
Granicar Kotoriba 0
Slaven Belupo 5
Dugo Selo 0
Lok. Zagreb 4
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 4
Sibenik 1
Gaj Mace 1
Varazdin 7
Uljanik Pula 0
Osijek 4
Solin 1
Rudes 2
NK Libertas Novska 1
HNK Gorica 3
Karlovac 5
Belisce 0
NK Dinamo Predavac 0
Din. Zagreb 6
Kurilovec 5
Oriolik 0
Neretva 1
Istra 1961 2
1/8-finals
Mladost Zdralovi 1
Rijeka 4
Cibalia 0
Hajduk Split 1
Bijelo Brdo 0
Slaven Belupo 3
Lok. Zagreb 4
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 0
Varazdin 2
Osijek 1
Rudes 0
HNK Gorica 6
Karlovac 0
Din. Zagreb 7
Kurilovec 2
Istra 1961 1
Quarter-finals
Rijeka 3
Hajduk Split 2
Slaven Belupo 2
Lok. Zagreb 1
Varazdin 1
HNK Gorica 3
Din. Zagreb 2
Kurilovec 0
Semi-finals
Rijeka 2
Slaven Belupo 0
HNK Gorica 3
Din. Zagreb 6
Final
Rijeka 0
Din. Zagreb 2
