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Gala Fairydean Rovers vs Bonnyrigg Rose - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Robinson S.
30' Event
Dougal E.
Assist: Hall L.
87' Event
Hogarth T.

AI Match Summary

The Lowland League game between Gala Fairydean Rovers and Bonnyrigg Rose finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bonnyrigg Rose.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Gala Fairydean Rovers
20%
Draws
65%
Bonnyrigg Rose
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bonnyrigg Rose

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Bonnyrigg Rose carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Lowland League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Bonnyrigg Rose here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Gala Fairydean Rovers Clean Sheet 10%
Bonnyrigg Rose Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gala Fairydean Rovers Bonnyrigg Rose
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 16
Draws 3 4
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.47 2.31
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Lowland League
Gala Fairydean Rovers vs Bonnyrigg Rose
1:2
Feb 28, 2026 Lowland League
Bonnyrigg Rose vs Gala Fairydean Rovers
4:2
Jul 30, 2025 Lowland League
Gala Fairydean Rovers vs Bonnyrigg Rose
0:3
Jan 15, 2022 Lowland League
Gala Fairydean Rovers vs Bonnyrigg Rose
0:3
Nov 13, 2021 Lowland League
Bonnyrigg Rose vs Gala Fairydean Rovers
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gala Fairydean Rovers Compare

Top Goalscorer Dougal E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Bonnyrigg Rose Compare

Top Goalscorer Robinson S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hogarth T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gala Fairydean Rovers 34 / 100
Bonnyrigg Rose 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gala Fairydean Rovers Bonnyrigg Rose

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bonnyrigg Rose Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Gala Fairydean Rovers scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Bonnyrigg Rose conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Gala Fairydean Rovers remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gala Fairydean Rovers VS Bonnyrigg Rose
0.88 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Gala Fairydean Rovers

(Home)
03 Oct
Gala Fairydean Rovers
0 : 1
Largs Thistle
26 Sept
Alloa
2 : 2
Gala Fairydean Rovers
22 Sept
Gala Fairydean Rovers
0 : 0
Spartans
19 Sept
Tranent FC
2 : 1
Gala Fairydean Rovers
16 Sept
Gala Fairydean Rovers
1 : 2
Bonnyrigg Rose
Page 1 of 6

Bonnyrigg Rose

(Away)
03 Oct
Clachnacuddin
2 : 0
Bonnyrigg Rose
26 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
3 : 0
Motherwell B
22 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 : 6
Airdrieonians
19 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
6 : 1
Stirling University
16 Sept
Gala Fairydean Rovers
1 : 2
Bonnyrigg Rose
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 10 8 2 0 19:6 26
2 Broxburn Athletic 10 7 2 1 16:9 23
3 Linlithgow Rose 10 7 1 2 29:12 22
4 Brechin 9 7 1 1 20:10 22
5 Hill Of Beath 10 7 1 2 15:11 22
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 10 5 2 3 21:16 17
8 Civil Service Strollers 10 5 1 4 16:16 16
9 Boness United 10 4 1 5 17:22 13
10 East Stirlingshire 10 3 1 6 14:21 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 10 1 0 9 11:27 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 11 9 0 2 35:15 27
2 Pollok 10 7 2 1 26:13 23
3 Largs Thistle 11 7 2 2 15:10 23
4 Auchinleck Talbot 11 7 1 3 35:12 22
5 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
6 Caledonian Braves 10 6 1 3 31:21 19
7 Johnstone Burgh 10 5 3 2 22:16 18
8 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
9 Cumnock Juniors 11 5 2 4 26:20 17
10 Troon FC 11 4 0 7 20:23 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Gretna 2008 11 3 1 7 25:33 10
13 Renfrew 11 3 1 7 20:30 10
14 Beith 11 2 3 6 14:28 9
15 Albion Rovers 10 2 2 6 10:21 8
16 Newton Stewart 9 1 1 7 9:37 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 10 0 1 9 6:35 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)