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Gala vs Benfica

Macao Macao

Elite League
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Ryan Daniel
22' Event
Joo Yong H.
25' Event
Joo Yong H.

AI Match Summary

The Elite League game between Gala and Benfica finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Gala
15%
Draws
32%
Benfica
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Gala carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Gala a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).
  • History favors Benfica here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Gala Clean Sheet 10%
Benfica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gala Benfica
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 2.93 2.2
Goals Conceded 1.67 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2026 Elite League
Gala vs Benfica
5:0
Feb 27, 2026 Elite League
Benfica vs Gala
2:1
May 10, 2025 Elite League
Gala vs Benfica
1:2
Mar 24, 2024 Elite League
Gala vs Benfica
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gala Compare

Top Goalscorer Ryan Daniel
2 Goals
Assists Leader Joo Yong H.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Benfica Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gala 56 / 100
Benfica 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gala Benfica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Gala scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Benfica let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Gala stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gala VS Benfica
3.63 Goals Scored 2.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Gala

(Home)
26 Jul
Gala
0 : 7
Shao Jiang
17 Jul
Gala
2 : 2
Must IPO
11 Jul
Gala
3 : 0
Chiba
04 Jul
Gala
3 : 2
G. Universe
27 Jun
Cheng Fung
1 : 4
Gala
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Benfica

(Away)
25 Jul
Benfica
4 : 5
Hang Sai
19 Jul
Benfica
10 : 0
University of Macau
10 Jul
Benfica
2 : 4
Shao Jiang
04 Jul
Must IPO
3 : 1
Benfica
28 Jun
Benfica
2 : 1
Chiba
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