Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2008/2009

Collado Villalba

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Galactico Pegaso play Collado Villalba in the Tercera Division - Group 7 2008/2009. It looks like a close match. Recently, Galactico Pegaso averaged 0.7 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. Collado Villalba averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Galactico Pegaso won 2, Collado Villalba won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 8, 2009 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Galactico Pegaso and 1.24 for Collado Villalba. This points to a Collado Villalba double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%

Galactico Pegaso

20%

Draws

51%

Collado Villalba

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Collado Villalba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence

Galactico Pegaso picked up more points recently compared to Collado Villalba.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.24 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 52%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%

Galactico Pegaso Clean Sheet 19%

Collado Villalba Clean Sheet 15%

First Half Goal 62%

Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Galactico Pegaso	Collado Villalba
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	5	13
Draws	4	8
Losses	21	9
Goals Scored	0.7	1.37
Goals Conceded	1.87	1.1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Galactico Pegaso vs Collado Villalba

Possession: 58% - 46% Cards: 2 - 1

4:0

Oct 19, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Collado Villalba vs Galactico Pegaso

Possession: 55% - 43% Cards: 0 - 3

0:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Galactico Pegaso 30 / 100

Collado Villalba 49 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Galactico Pegaso Collado Villalba

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Collado Villalba or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +38%

4.76

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.8%

2.17

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Galactico Pegaso attacking → ← attacking Collado Villalba

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Galactico Pegaso scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Collado Villalba let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Galactico Pegaso went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Collado Villalba lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 47

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	RSD Alcala	40	27	7	6	65:22	88
2	Parla	40	22	11	7	63:34	77
3	Rayo Majadahonda	40	20	9	11	53:37	69
4	Mexico	40	19	11	10	59:43	68
5	Rayo Vallecano B	40	17	14	9	52:34	65
6	Getafe B	40	18	8	14	62:46	62
7	CD Ciempozuelos	40	15	15	10	49:42	60
8	Real Madrid C	40	16	10	14	60:46	58
9	Vallecas CF	40	15	12	13	56:53	57
10	CF Fuenlabrada	40	15	11	14	50:48	56
11	CD Mostoles	40	15	11	14	48:41	56
12	Santa Ana	40	15	8	17	46:52	53
13	San Sebastian Reyes	40	12	17	11	35:34	53
14	Atl. Madrid C	40	13	14	13	52:49	53
15	Atletico Pinto	40	14	10	16	53:49	52
16	Galactico Pegaso	40	13	13	14	48:45	52
17	Puerta Bonita	40	12	15	13	35:41	51
18	CD Las Rozas	40	12	10	18	58:62	46
19	Club Deportivo Colonia Ofigevi	40	6	12	22	35:59	30
20	Pozuelo de Alarcon	40	6	11	23	41:75	29
21	Collado Villalba	40	1	5	34	31:139	8