Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Galapagar vs Alcorcon B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Saez S.
56' Event
Nchama R.
85'
Torre J.

AI Match Summary

Alcorcon B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alcorcon B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Galapagar
30%
Draws
31%
Alcorcon B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Galapagar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alcorcon B lately — more wins on the board than Galapagar.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Galapagar Clean Sheet 68%
Alcorcon B Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Galapagar Alcorcon B
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 10 9
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.34 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.45 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs Alcorcon B
0:2
Dec 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs Galapagar
2:1
Mar 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs Galapagar
0:0
Oct 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs Alcorcon B
3:0
May 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs Alcorcon B
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Galapagar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Alcorcon B Compare

Top Goalscorer Saez S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nchama R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Galapagar 41 / 100
Alcorcon B 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Galapagar Alcorcon B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Galapagar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Galapagar scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Alcorcon B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Galapagar remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Galapagar VS Alcorcon B
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Galapagar

(Home)
12 Sept
Real Aranjuez
2 : 5
Galapagar
06 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
10 May
Galapagar
3 : 1
CD Las Rozas
03 May
Parla
0 : 5
Galapagar
26 Apr
Union Adarve
3 : 1
Galapagar
Page 1 of 6

Alcorcon B

(Away)
10 May
Trival Valderas
2 : 2
Alcorcon B
03 May
Alcorcon B
0 : 1
AD Torrejon
26 Apr
Parla
0 : 4
Alcorcon B
19 Apr
Galapagar
0 : 2
Alcorcon B
11 Apr
Alcorcon B
1 : 1
Mexico
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)