Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Galapagar vs Alcorcon B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Saez S.
56' Event
Nchama R.
85'
Torre J.

AI Match Summary

Alcorcon B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alcorcon B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Galapagar
28%
Draws
50%
Alcorcon B
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Alcorcon B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alcorcon B lately — more wins on the board than Galapagar.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Alcorcon B taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Galapagar Clean Sheet 15%
Alcorcon B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Galapagar Alcorcon B
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 11 9
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs Alcorcon B
0:2
Dec 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs Galapagar
2:1
Mar 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs Galapagar
0:0
Oct 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs Alcorcon B
3:0
May 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs Alcorcon B
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Galapagar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Alcorcon B Compare

Top Goalscorer Saez S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nchama R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Galapagar 23 / 100
Alcorcon B 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Galapagar Alcorcon B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Galapagar scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Alcorcon B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Galapagar remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Galapagar VS Alcorcon B
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Galapagar

(Home)
10 May
Galapagar
3 : 1
CD Las Rozas
03 May
Parla
0 : 5
Galapagar
26 Apr
Union Adarve
3 : 1
Galapagar
19 Apr
Galapagar
0 : 2
Alcorcon B
12 Apr
Villaverde San Andres
1 : 1
Galapagar
Page 1 of 6

Alcorcon B

(Away)
10 May
Trival Valderas
2 : 2
Alcorcon B
03 May
Alcorcon B
0 : 1
AD Torrejon
26 Apr
Parla
0 : 4
Alcorcon B
19 Apr
Galapagar
0 : 2
Alcorcon B
11 Apr
Alcorcon B
1 : 1
Mexico
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atl. Madrid C341810683:4664
2Trival Valderas341861050:3660
3AD Torrejon34179857:4660
4CD Las Rozas341681058:4256
5Leganes B341591063:3354
6Union Adarve341581148:4253
7CD Mostoles341491151:4551
8San Sebastian Reyes B341213945:3549
9Pozuelo de Alarcon3412121040:3348
10Galapagar3411131042:4746
11Mexico341291345:4945
12Siello341351639:4544
13Alcorcon B3411111237:3444
14Villaverde San Andres3410131132:4443
15Carabanchel349111430:3638
16Tres Cantos341032140:6533
17Parla34762129:6627
18Ciudad de Madrid34572231:7622
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)