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Galapagar vs CD Las Rozas

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Ortega D.
75' Event
Menendez G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Galapagar
35%
Draws
27%
CD Las Rozas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Galapagar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Galapagar at 1.55 per game, CD Las Rozas at 1.36.
  • Model gives Galapagar a 38% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Galapagar Clean Sheet 15%
CD Las Rozas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Galapagar CD Las Rozas
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 13 13
Draws 11 10
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.55 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs CD Las Rozas
1:1
May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs CD Las Rozas
3:1
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Las Rozas vs Galapagar
1:1
Mar 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
CD Las Rozas vs Galapagar
1:2
Nov 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs CD Las Rozas
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Galapagar Compare

Top Goalscorer Menendez G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

CD Las Rozas Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortega D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Galapagar 84 / 100
CD Las Rozas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Galapagar CD Las Rozas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Galapagar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Galapagar remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Galapagar scored in 79% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

CD Las Rozas has conceded goals in 58% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

Galapagar VS CD Las Rozas
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Galapagar

(Home)
20 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1
CD Las Rozas
12 Sept
Real Aranjuez
2 : 5
Galapagar
06 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
10 May
Galapagar
3 : 1
CD Las Rozas
03 May
Parla
0 : 5
Galapagar
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CD Las Rozas

(Away)
20 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1
CD Las Rozas
13 Sept
CD Las Rozas
3 : 2
Leganes B
05 Sept
Cala Pozuelo
1 : 3
CD Las Rozas
30 Aug
CD Las Rozas
0 : 0
CD Tarancon
07 Jun
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
CD Las Rozas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colonia Moscardo 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
2 CD Las Rozas 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
3 CD Mostoles 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
4 Leganes B 3 2 0 1 8:4 6
5 Galapagar 3 1 2 0 7:4 5
6 RC Alcobendas 3 1 2 0 7:4 5
7 Union Adarve 3 1 2 0 4:2 5
8 Trival Valderas 3 1 2 0 4:2 5
9 CP Parla Escuela 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
10 CF Fuenlabrada 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
11 Pozuelo de Alarcon 3 0 3 0 3:3 3
12 Cala Pozuelo 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
13 AD Torrejon 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
14 San Sebastian Reyes B 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
15 Mexico 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
16 Rayo Vallecano B 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
17 Real Aranjuez 3 0 1 2 3:8 1
18 Siello 3 0 0 3 2:10 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 (Play Offs)