Sport Picks
Galapagar vs Pozuelo de Alarcon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 7 
Match Events
20'
20'
Gallego A.
59'
59'
Moreno A.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 game between Galapagar and Pozuelo de Alarcon finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
35%
28%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Galapagar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Galapagar haven't matched Pozuelo de Alarcon's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Galapagar's way, sitting at 70%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Galapagar Clean Sheet 68%
Pozuelo de Alarcon Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Galapagar | Pozuelo de Alarcon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs Pozuelo de Alarcon
1:1
Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Pozuelo de Alarcon vs Galapagar
0:0
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs Pozuelo de Alarcon
2:2
Apr 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Pozuelo de Alarcon vs Galapagar
1:1
Dec 17, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs Pozuelo de Alarcon
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Galapagar Compare
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Pozuelo de Alarcon Compare
Top Goalscorer Gallego A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Galapagar 77 / 100
Pozuelo de Alarcon 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Galapagar Pozuelo de Alarcon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Galapagar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Galapagar found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).
Pozuelo de Alarcon let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Galapagar stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Galapagar VS Pozuelo de Alarcon
2.25 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Galapagar
(Home) 04 Oct
Galapagar
1 : 3 Cala Pozuelo
27 Sept
Rayo Vallecano B
1 : 2 Galapagar
20 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1 CD Las Rozas
12 Sept
Real Aranjuez
2 : 5 Galapagar
06 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Galapagar
1 : 3 Cala Pozuelo
20 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1 CD Las Rozas
06 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
10 May
Galapagar
3 : 1 CD Las Rozas
19 Apr
Galapagar
0 : 2 Alcorcon B
Page 1 of 3
Pozuelo de Alarcon
(Away) 04 Oct
Colonia Moscardo
5 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
27 Sept
Pozuelo de Alarcon
3 : 2 San Sebastian Reyes B
20 Sept
Trival Valderas
1 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
12 Sept
Pozuelo de Alarcon
1 : 1 RC Alcobendas
06 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Colonia Moscardo
5 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
20 Sept
Trival Valderas
1 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
06 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
29 Aug
Illescas
0 : 1 Pozuelo de Alarcon
22 Aug
Real Avila
4 : 0 Pozuelo de Alarcon
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colonia Moscardo | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15:6 | 12 |
| 2 | Cala Pozuelo | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 12 |
| 3 | Trival Valderas | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 11 |
| 4 | CD Mostoles | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 11 |
| 5 | CD Las Rozas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 10 |
| 6 | Galapagar | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 8 |
| 7 | RC Alcobendas | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12:11 | 8 |
| 8 | CF Fuenlabrada | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 9 | Leganes B | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 7 |
| 10 | AD Torrejon | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 11 | Union Adarve | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 12 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7:10 | 6 |
| 13 | CP Parla Escuela | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | 5 |
| 14 | Mexico | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 15 | Real Aranjuez | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10:14 | 5 |
| 16 | San Sebastian Reyes B | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7:13 | 3 |
| 17 | Siello | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:13 | 3 |
| 18 | Rayo Vallecano B | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6:13 | 1 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 (Play Offs)
