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Galapagar vs RC Alcobendas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Valero C.
47' Event
Ferreres F.
67' Event
Escolano A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 game between Galapagar and RC Alcobendas finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Galapagar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Galapagar
15%
Draws
21%
RC Alcobendas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Galapagar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Galapagar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Galapagar a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Galapagar Clean Sheet 14%
RC Alcobendas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Galapagar RC Alcobendas
Matches Played 33 8
Wins 15 2
Draws 9 2
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.76 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.48 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs RC Alcobendas
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Galapagar Compare

Top Goalscorer Valero C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferreres F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

RC Alcobendas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Galapagar 75 / 100
RC Alcobendas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Galapagar RC Alcobendas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Galapagar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Galapagar found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (33 games).

RC Alcobendas let in goals in 100% of their last 8 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Galapagar remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Galapagar VS RC Alcobendas
2.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Galapagar

(Home)
25 Oct
Galapagar
4 : 1
RC Alcobendas
18 Oct
CD Mostoles
3 : 0
Galapagar
11 Oct
Leganes B
2 : 3
Galapagar
04 Oct
Galapagar
1 : 3
Cala Pozuelo
27 Sept
Rayo Vallecano B
1 : 2
Galapagar
Page 1 of 7

RC Alcobendas

(Away)
25 Oct
Galapagar
4 : 1
RC Alcobendas
18 Oct
RC Alcobendas
1 : 2
Leganes B
10 Oct
Cala Pozuelo
2 : 1
RC Alcobendas
07 Oct
CD Las Rozas
3 : 0
RC Alcobendas
04 Oct
RC Alcobendas
4 : 2
Rayo Vallecano B
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Mostoles 9 6 2 1 21:6 20
2 Colonia Moscardo 9 4 5 0 18:8 17
3 CD Las Rozas 9 5 2 2 20:15 17
4 Union Adarve 9 4 4 1 16:11 16
5 Galapagar 9 4 3 2 19:16 15
6 Pozuelo de Alarcon 9 4 3 2 14:16 15
7 Leganes B 9 4 2 3 19:12 14
8 Trival Valderas 9 3 5 1 14:11 14
9 Cala Pozuelo 9 4 2 3 13:12 14
10 AD Torrejon 9 4 1 4 15:8 13
11 CF Fuenlabrada 9 3 4 2 12:9 13
12 CP Parla Escuela 9 2 4 3 14:16 10
13 RC Alcobendas 9 2 2 5 15:22 8
14 Mexico 9 1 4 4 13:16 7
15 Real Aranjuez 9 1 4 4 13:20 7
16 San Sebastian Reyes B 9 2 1 6 14:25 7
17 Rayo Vallecano B 9 1 3 5 12:19 6
18 Siello 9 1 1 7 8:28 4
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 (Play Offs)